2017 IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 15

Hello and welcome back to the IDPGuru.com's most popular in-season article, IDP Waiver Wire Pickups, which will be releasing every Tuesday of the regular season.

Although I'm happy to answer questions posted via the website comments section, IDP Forum, and email, I'm often quickest to respond via Twitter. So if you have IDP questions, it's a good idea to Follow me on Twitter.

Let's start things off by going through some IDP news, notes, and commentary from Week 14 of the NFL season.

Injuries/Suspensions
Carlos Dunlap left the game late in the fourth quarter with a chest injury and did not return. The game was well out of hand by that point, so the team could have just been being conservative. We should know more about his status after the Wednesday practice reports are released.

Gerald McCoy left the game in the first quarter with an arm injury. Initial reports are saying that he has a torn biceps. If true, this would be the third time in his career that McCoy had suffered this injury. And he would miss the remainder of the season.

A.J. Klein pulled a groin during the Saints' Thursday Night loss to the Falcons. He's expected to "miss some time."

Both Bobby Wagner (hamstring) and K.J. Wright (concussion) were forced from Sunday's game with injuries and did not return. They will both be questionable heading into Week 15.

Zach Brown was seen in tears after being carted off the field in last week's game. Although the injury initially looked season-ending, the team is saying that's not the case and that Brown may just "miss a game."

Pro Bowl safety Landon Collins injured his ankle in the 4th quarter of the Giants' game against the Cowboys. He was spotted in a walking boot after the game. No timetable for his return has been determined yet, but I would have to imagine he's going to miss this coming week's game.

Kenny Vaccaro has had a solid season but just can't seem to stay healthy. He re-aggravated a groin injury in the first half and was removed from the game.


General Player Notes
DE/LB Eric Lee played 100% of the defensive snaps with Kyle Van Noy out. Elandon Roberts also played about 75% of the snaps. Lee is classified as a DL in some leagues. If that's the case, he makes for a very nice "cheat code" at the position for as long as Van Noy remains sidelined.

Deone Bucannon returned to the starting lineup after missing a week due to injury. There was some concern he would lose snaps to Josh Bynes in subpackages but that didn't happen. Bynes instead stole share away from veteran Karlos Dansby. Despite playing full-time however, Bucannon only managed just two total tackles. His production should improve next week as he continues to get near full health.

Both Vincent Rey and Jordan Evans saw ~90% of the snaps with Nick Vigil and Vontaze Burfict out with injuries last week.

Christian Jones' snap count plummeted to ~20% this week with Nick Kwiatkoski receiving 85% of the snaps. This seems to be a fluid timeshare and is a situation I would avoid for the fantasy playoffs.

Vince Williams played 83% of the defensive snaps with Ryan Shazier and Tyler Matakevich out. I would expect that percentage to hold steady even when Matakevich returns.

Kelvin Sheppard played every down on the weak side with Jonathan Casillas still out with an injury. Calvin Munson played 80%+ of the defensive snaps in the middle with B.J. Goodson once again sidelined.

After a couple of monster games, Vonn Bell has come crashing back down to reality in recent weeks. Much of that decrease is a result in a change of role for him as he's seen less snaps with Marshon Lattimore and Marcus Williams back. He could see a slight bump if Kenny Vaccaro misses any time but he remains a boom/bust option.

Up until this week, Daniel Sorensen had been one of fantasy's most consistent safeties. This makes his two solo performance in the fantasy playoffs that much more disappointing. Keep in mind though that the Chiefs only saw 11 rush attempts and very little tackle opportunities in general as Kansas City dominated the time of possession on offense. He should rebound next week.


Now onto The Guru's IDP waiver wire selections for Week 15!

(Please note that a majority of these pickups early on are long-term, rest of season pickups as opposed to matchup-type recommendations. As the season progresses and the waiver wire becomes thinner and matchup information becomes more reliable, the focus of this article will shift more towards recommendations based on the weekly matchup.)

Defensive Linemen
(Previously recommended DLs: Aaron Donald, Geno Atkins, Yannick Ngaokoue, Noah Spence, Mario Edwards, Julius Peppers, William Gholston, Alex Okafor, Jurrell Casey, Emmanuel Ogbah, Anthony Zettel, Yannick Ngakoue, Myles Garrett, Frank Clark, David Irving, Solomon Thomas, Alex Okafor, Mario Edwards, Carlos Dunlap, Cameron Heyward, Jarran Reed, Henry Anderson, Vinny Curry, Leger Douzable, Dwight Freeney, Robert Ayers, Stephon Tuitt, Olivier Vernon, Emmanuel Ogbah, Frostee Rucker, Jurrell Casey, Gerald McCoy, Willie Henry, Cameron Wake, Marcell Dareus, Mike Daniels, Muhammad Wilkerson, Jerry Hughes, Eric Lee)

DE Ezekiel Ansah (DET) - Ansah has struggled with injury and consequent ineffectiveness since his 2015 breakout campaign in which he logged an impressive 14.5 sacks. Outside of a big, three sack game in Week 2, Ansah had struggled in the box scores for a majority of the season. He's come on in recent weeks however with 13 solo tackles and 2 sacks over his last three games. He's getting healthy at a pivotal time for owners and makes for a nice high upside play against the Bears in Week 15. Consider him a DL2-.

DE Jurrell Casey (TEN) - Casey failed to register a sack in Weeks 12 or 13 despite two very favorable matchups. This caused his ownership percentage to plummet. He did bounce back with a two-sack performance again a very sackable Arizona team and is worth a look again this week in another favorable matchup against the 49ers. He's a decent boom/bust DL3.

DE Michael Johnson (CIN) - Johnson broke through with a two sack performance against the Bears last week. His snap count percentage has risen above 75% in recent weeks and he would figure to take on a larger role if Carlos Dunlap couldn't suit up this week. The matchup against the Vikings isn't great but they did give up six sacks last week. Plus, picking are slim this time of year at the defensive line position.


Linebackers
(Previously recommended LBs: B.J. Goodson, Demario Davis, Mason Foster, A.J. Klein, Ramon Humber, Joe Schobert, Jon Bostic, Vincent Rey, Ramon Humbar, Mike Hull, Zach Cunningham, Danny Trevathan, Kendell Beckwith, Cory James, Derrick Morgan, Kendell Beckwith, Shaq Thompson, Ray-Ray Armstrong, Kyle Van Noy, Reuben Foster, Danny Trevathan, Blake Martinez, Hayes Pullard, Mychal Kendricks, Craig Robertson, Thomas Davis, Shaq Thompson, Matt Judon, Navarro Bowman, Mychal Kendricks, Craig Robertson, Keenan Robinson, Joe Schobert, Cory James, Ramon Humber, Clay Matthews, Ramon Humber, Will Compton, Denzel Perryman, Brock Coyle, Denzel Perryman, Anthony Hitchens, Martrell Spaight, James Burgess, Calvin Munson, Christian Jones, Karlos Dansby, Tahir Whitehead, Josh Bynes, Paul Posluszny, Kelvin Sheppard, Danny Trevathan, Vince Williams, L.J. Fort, Jordan Evans, Josh Bynes, Paul Posluszny)

LB Craig Robertson (NO) - A.J. Klein looks like he's going to miss some time with a groin injury. This bumps up Robertson into an every-down role. He registered 8 total tackles with Klein out last week and has shown that he's capable of big numbers when given a full complement of snaps. A similar number of tackles is a reasonable projection for him this week against the Jets.   

LB Michael Wilhoite (SEA) -
Both Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright suffered injuries in last Sunday's game and are in jeopardy of missing the Seahawks' upcoming game. If Wagner is out, Wilhoite would likely slide into the middle of the defense and play every down, making up an intriguing LB3 streaming option for owners in deeper IDP leagues.

LB Zach Vigil (WAS) - Vigil has leapfrogged Martrell Spaight for the starting inside linebacker job in Washington. With Zach Brown looking like he might not play this week, Vigil has a good chance of racking up tackles against the Cardinals if nothing more than by default. He's available in the vast majority of leagues, so he makes for a nice, one-week pickup for those looking to fill their LB3/LB4 spots.

LB Matt Milano (BUF) - The Bills coaching staff started Milano over Ramon Humber this week and the former responded with 11 total tackles (10 solos). Both teams were forced to run the ball on a vast majority of their plays due to the severe weather conditions so that inflated the tackle production of a lot of Bills/Colts players. And Milano is only playing in the base package for now. But he's still worth a look as a LB4+ for owners in desperation mode.


Defensive Backs
(Previously recommended DBs: Tyvon Branch, Kevin Byard, Daniel Sorensen, Ron Parker, Jalen Mills, Matthias Farley, Jordan Poyer, Vonn Bell, Derrick Kindred, Josh Jones, Terrance Mitchell, Brian Poole, TreDavious White, Chris Conte, Adrian Amos, Trevor Williams, Andrew Sendejo, Tavon Wilson, Justin Evans, Adrian Amos, Justin Evans, Justin Simmons, Morris Claiborne, Tramon Williams, Jamal Adams, Eric Reid, Adrian Phillips, Kurt Coleman, Trai Elston, Eric Reid, DeAngelo Hall, Josh Jones, Budda Baker, Antoine Bethea, T.J. McDonald, Eric Reid, Budda Baker, Darqueze Dennard, Vonn Bell, Jonathan Cyprien, Bradley McDougald, Miles Killebrew, Ryan Smith, Patrick Chung, Dre Kirkpatrick, Quandre Diggs)

S Sean Davis (PIT) - With 12 total tackles (2 for loss), 1 PD, and an interception, Sean Davis had his best game to date. This isn't altogether surprising given that the Steelers were without Ryan Shazier, forcing Davis to take on a stronger role in the run game. He has the Patriots on the schedule this week who have been one of the top tackle-producing matchups for opposing safeties this season. He should be one of the stronger defensive back plays this week.

CB Desmond King (LAC) - King has been one of the top fantasy corners over the last two months, so he's likely only available in moderately shallow IDP leagues. The Chargers are using him to blitz a lot out of the slot which has translated to him compiling a ridiculous four sacks over his last six games. He's averaged a very solid five solo tackles during this time frame as well. The one downside is his plays the Chiefs this week who have given up the least amount of points to opposing cornerbacks so that downgrades his value a bit. Consider him a top 30-40 DB this week.

CB/S Quandre Diggs (DET) - I mentioned Diggs last week as a sneaky play in CB-required leagues as he's still classified as a corner despite starting at strong safety for the Lions. He came through in spades for owners that picked him up last week as he went 6-1, a forced fumble, an interception, and a pass defensed. He has a top 10 matchup against the Bears this week, so he should be in your lineups in most leagues that force you to start a cornerback.


If you have any questions, feel free to email me at theidpguru@idpguru.com or follow me on Twitter. Also, feel free to post any questions or comments for me in the comments section of this post.

Last Updated: December 12, 2017
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25 comments :

Unknown said...

Looking to start two LBs in TIS league. Own Dion Jones and Joe Schobert. Do I drop Dion given matchup, and presumed game flow, for Telvin Smith who just became available last week? Dion against bucs and Telvin vs texans

Alex S said...

Hey Guru, I’m torn between C. Robertson (vs. Jets without McCowen) and A. Hitchens (vs. OAK)? Any advice?

Harry H said...

Need one Bostic or Whitehead and Rey?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Alex S
I'd go Robertson as he should be full time if Klein misses the game. Hitchens was a benefactor of the Giants stat crew last week. Hard to trust Hitchens as he's likely miss 30% or so of the snaps with Jaylon Smith subbing in for him.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Harry H
Bostic

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Unknown
Tough call as Smith is returning from injury. I'd probably play it safe and roll with Jones.

Douglas Northam said...

Should I stick with Joseph (Oak) or grab Davis from Pitt? Also is Foster (SF) and upgrade over Davis (NYJ) or Schobert (Cle) at the LB position?

Mike Kopek said...

I've got Bobby Wagner with the Q tag this week and need to grab someone off the wire if he's not good to go. Who do you think has the highest floor and ceiling? Michael Wilhoite, Bruce Irvin, or Anthony Hitchens? Thanks in advance for the help!

Sean said...

Guru,
I have 2 DP’s to play. I have TJ McDonald, Desmond King and John Johnson III. What would be your preference? Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Douglas Northam
Davis. No to the Foster question.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Mike Kopek
Wilhoite

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Sean
Mcdonald and King

Sean said...

Thank Ryan!
If I am able to pick up Sorenson, would you go with him and King or him and McDonald?
Thanks again in advance.

Mike Martinez said...

Does Desmond King play 90-100% of Defensive snaps?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Mike Martinez
Not quite. Check out his playing time percentages here: https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/reports/snap-counts/db.php?show=perc

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Sean
Him and McDonald

Sean said...

Perfect!
Thanks again!

Tystick357 said...

Looking for a flex play in a deep UDP league. Anthony Barr, Wilhoite, Vigil, or Milano. My guy tells me Milano, you?

Tystick357 said...

IDP* and gut*, apologies.

Douglas Northam said...

Thank you for your help!

Unknown said...

Would you play Desmond King or Seams Davis this week? The league I am in does give points for return yards. Which gives a slight advantage for King.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Tystick357
I like Zach Vigil this week with Brown out. Unless Wagner and Wright are both out, then Wilhoite.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Unknown
King's matchup is really bad this week (technically the worst) whereas Davis has a really good matchup so I'd go Davis.

Chris Ricketts said...

I have Bobby Wagner also with the Q... should I start Rey or Davis from CIN.. or Zach Vigil or Wilhoite?

Chris Ricketts said...

Or Kelvin Sheppard from NYG

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