2014 IDP Draft Rankings - Linebackers (Redraft)

Listed below are my 2014 Linebacker Rankings for IDP Redraft Leagues. I will continually update these throughout the off-season to reflect changes in free agency, defensive schemes, playing time, draft selections, etc. However, keep in mind that the information listed here is just a small sample of a much larger set of rankings and descriptions that are accessible through purchasing my 2014 Fantasy Football Draft Guide.

Drafting Philosophy:
Linebackers are undoubtedly the staples of a fantasy defense. However, I believe many fantasy owners tend to overvalue this position on draft day. There always seems to be a huge run on linebackers early in drafts as many owners feel that securing a "top tier" linebacker is essential to having a competitive fantasy defense. Although this is a fair strategy, I think more times than not, better value is to be found within other positions at the early junctures in drafts.

The fact is that there are a plethora of potential LB1 linebackers (e.g. Cushing, Mayo, Kendricks, Worrilow) that can be had rounds after the Tier 1 and even Tier 2 linebackers are off the board.
Additionally, IDP studs always emerge at the linebacker position throughout the season (e.g. Danny Trevathan, Paul Worrilow, DeAndre Levy, Daryl Smith, A.J. Hawk). That said, often times the best strategy is to wait until the upper echelon linebackers have been taken and then come in and start plucking up the aforementioned  LB1 upside value plays a few rounds later. This will allow you to use those early round draft picks to shore up other positions where more relative value is to be found, while at the same time, not suffering significant losses of quality at the linebacker position.

Scoring System:
Solo Tackle = 1 point
Assist = 0.5 point
Sack = 3 points
Interception = 4 points
Forced Fumble = 2 points
Fumble Recovery = 2 points
Pass Deflection = 1 point
Defensive TD = 6 points

Key:
S = Sleeper/Undervalued Player
B = Bust/Overvalued Player
R = Injury Risk


Tier 1

Lavonte David 1. WLB Lavonte David (TB) - David was able to build upon the tremendous success he enjoyed as a rookie and further establish himself as one of the premier, all-around linebackers in the league. His elite versatility shined through in the box scores with 145 total tackles, 2 FFs,  5 INTs, and 6 sacks. There's reason to believe these numbers could be further buoyed by the arrival of Leslie Frazier and the installation of Tampa-2 principles. This, plus the current lack of a serious every-down linebacker threat to challenge David for tackles, makes him my #1 fantasy linebacker.

Luke Kuechly 2. MLB Luke Kuechly (CAR) - After a slow start to the season, Kuechly averaged a ridiculous 11.5 total tackles per game over his last 8 games which helped him win DPOY. He's still only 22 years old and is only going to get better as he gains more experience and confidence. Additionally, he's well protected by his front four which should keep him relatively free of blockers and allow him to have a more direct path to the ballcarrier. It's essentially a coin toss between Kuechly and Lavonte David for the top linebacker spot.



Tier 2

Paul Posluszny 3. MLB Paul Posluszny (JAC) - Posluszny had a career year in the tackle department  finishing 1st in the NFL in solo tackles with 121 and 2nd in total tackles with 161. The combination of little tackle competition around him and the Jaguars anemic offense should ensure Posluszny is lined up for another top 5-10 fantasy finish.

Vontaze Burfict 4. WLB Vontaze Burfict (CIN) - After a historic draft collapse, Burfict has proven his doubters wrong at the Pro level. He finished first in the NFL in overall tackles this past season and has surpassed Rey Maualuga as the leader of the Bengals defense. There was perhaps no more consistent week-to-week performer than Burfict who never had less than 5 solo tackles in any week. For those in fantasy leagues that don't reward for assist, feel free to give Burfict a slight bump down. But no matter how you slice it, Burfict should be a top 5 selection.

Patrick Willis 5. ILB Patrick Willis (SF) - It was not that long ago when Willis was the perennial #1 overall IDP pick in virtually every fantasy league. Now he's not even considered the best fantasy linebacker option on his own team. That latter belief will likely change heading into this year however as teammate Navorro Bowman will be battling his way back from a torn ACL. Willis isn't quite the linebacker he was in his mid-20's, but he's been an above average LB2 over the past couple seasons and should post elite LB1 numbers for at least the first half of the season while Bowman is rehabbing his injury.

Karlos Dansby 6. WILB Karlos Dansby (CLE) - After failing to draw a ton of interest on the free agent market in 2013, Dansby found a home in Arizona where he had one of his best seasons as a pro and led the team in tackles with 121. Fantasy owners have to be quite pleased with Dansby landing in Cleveland. He will be the key cog in Mike Pettine's 3-4 defense moving forward and should be able to build upon the numbers D'Qwell Jackson was producing there in recent years. He's a virtual lock to be taken amongst the top 5-15 fantasy linebackers this year.

Derrick Johnson 7. WILB Derrick Johnson (KC) - Johnson has now had 4 straight seasons of 94 or more solo tackles and managed to grow his big play numbers in 2013. He falls out of the elite linebacker tier though as the Kansas City stat crew in the stingiest in the league in terms of giving out assists (~7 total a game). That said, it's just not realistic to expect more than 15 or so assists a year out of Johnson. Feel free to draft him higher if assists don't matter in your specific scoring system, but otherwise consider him a mid-level LB1.




Tier 3

Brian Cushing 8. ILB Brian Cushing (HOU) - A slow start to the season and a torn ACL suffered in Week 7 will have people leary of spending a top 15 pick on Cushing. It was seriously low tackle opportunity however, not ineffective play, which caused his tackle numbers to be underwhelming in those first handful of games. Cushing was actually playing extremely well before his injury, producing a tackle on 14.6% of his snaps (7th best % in the NFL for players with over 300 snaps). With the Texans offense not nearly what it recently was, expect Cushing to see a career high in snaps. This, along with the absence of nearly any tackle competition, should translate into career numbers for the 6th year player out of USC. S,R

Jerod Mayo 9. WLB Jerod Mayo (NE) - Mayo has fallen off the radar a bit after suffering significant season-ending injuries twice in the last three years. But he's still worth a high draft pick. He's a top level talent in an optimal role scheme-wise. When healthy, he's usually a good bet for 140+ total tackles  and gets an added boost from the Patriots' home stat crew which issues out the most assists in the NFL at 64 per game. Mayo is just 27 and I have faith he will bounce back from the pectoral injury that caused him to miss most of last season. He's currently being drafted in the LB15-25 range, so owners can probably afford to pass over him at this specific draft position and come back in the next round to nab him at a really nice discount. S,R

Bobby Wagner 10. MLB Bobby Wagner (SEA) - Wagner had another very solid season for fantasy owners and would have likely finished in the top 15 if not for missing two regular season games. Keep in mind however that Seattle's ridiculously good defense is very efficient at getting off the field and thereby limits the amount of tackle opportunities for Seahawk IDPs. Additionally, Seattle's stat crew is among the stingiest in the NFL in terms of issuing solo tackles. These factors will likely keep him in the 80-85 solo tackle range making him more reliant on big plays to produce top tier linebacker numbers. That said, his current ADP is too high in my opinion and I will hesitant to reach for him unless he falls in drafts. B

James Laurinaitis11. MLB James Laurinaitis (STL) - Laurinaitis failed to crack 100 solo tackles for the first time since 2010. The solid play of rookie linebacker Alec Ogletree obviously put a bit of a cap on his production. He's got decent big play upside but also gets dinged a bit in the assist category due to the Rams stat keeper. He's no longer the clear cut LB1 he use to be, but he can still provide nice value as an LB2+/LB1-.

Paul Worrilow 12.WILB Paul Worrilow (ATL) - For all intents and purposes, Worrilow was the IDP surprise of the season. This undrafted rookie out of Delaware was completely off every fantasy owner until a rash of linebacker injuries forced him into every down action in Week 10 and he responded with an eye-grabbing 19 tackles. Worrilow would go on to amass a ridiculous 11.5 tackles per game over the last 8 games of the season. This said, he did grade out negatively against both the run and pass and is perhaps the least talented of this tier. However, with Sean Weatherspoon out for the season, Worrilow will have opportunity abound. And that's the name of the game in IDP fantasy football. LB1 value is possible with a relatively safe floor of LB2-.

Chad Greenway 13. WLB Chad Greenway (MIN) - Greenway has been a favorite of mine over the past few seasons as he always seems to be undervalued my IDP owners. He's been nothing but consistent since entering the league and still managed to put up a top 15 finish last year despite playing through a broken hand for a majority of the season. The Vikings have a pretty significant lack of talent at their MLB and SLB spots which only helps Greenway maintain his elite LB2+ status.

Alec Ogletree 14. WLB Alec Ogletree (STL) - Ogletree proved to be an excellent fit within the Rams defensive system and managed to exceed the projections of nearly every fantasy writer. His mark of 94 solo tackles in his rookie season is an impressive feat, but I'm concerned that he may have reached a production plateau early in his career. There are only so many tackles to go around in St. Louis and barring injury James Laurinaitis will remain the team leader and focal point of the defense. He's a rock solid LB2+ choice, but I just don't see the growth opportunities to justify a higher selection.

Alec Ogletree 15. ILB Wesley Woodyard (TEN) - During his six-year career in Denver, Woodyard served as the ultimate utility player. He made an impact both at middle linebacker and on the weak side and was a team captain in each of his six years on the team. However, a mid-season neck injury severely diminished his on-the-field play and the emergence of Danny Trevathan made Woodyard expendable. His signing in Tennessee makes a lot of sense. Horton's system demands linebackers to be quick and athletic both against the run and the pass. Expect Woodyard to play every down next to underachieving Zach Brown. We've seen that Tennessee is one of the most target rich environments in the league which could very well help Woodyard see a return to his previous fantasy dominance. He's shaping up to be one of the higher ceiling LB2s. S

Mychal Kendricks 16. ILB Mychal Kendricks (PHI) - Kendricks has been a favorite of mine since entering the league in 2012 out of California. He had an underwhelming rookie season as the speed of the NFL seemed to be a bit much for him at times. He showed similar signs during the early part of last season, but eventually turned a corner in the middle of the year and started to play more consistently and showed flashes of true playmaker potential. The Eagles fast paced offense is going to put them near the top of the NFL in tackle opportunity (they were #1 last year) which opens up the door for Kendricks to have a monster season if he can carry over that consistency into 2014. He was a bit overshadowed by Demeco Ryans last season and his 2013 numbers don't scream elite fantasy LB1, but trust me, this kid has the potential to be a top 5-10 fantasy linebacker as soon as this coming season. One of the best value picks on the board. S

Perry Riley 17. ILB Perry Riley (WAS) - After initially looking far apart in contract talks, Riley and the Redskins managed to come to terms in fairly quick order. $13 million was a lot less than Riley originally was asking for but I'm sure he found the market to be much less welcoming than he originally expected. He's not particular great against the run or the pass, but stands as the only viable tackle threat on the Redskins defense currently. With London Fletcher retired, there's a good chance Riley benefits greatly from the lack of tackle competition and launches himself into a LB2+/LB1- role. S

DeMeco Ryans 18. ILB DeMeco Ryans (PHI) - Ryans had a bit of a career resurgence in Philadelphia posting his best numbers since his rookie season back in 2006 and finishing in the top 10 in fantasy points. He's likely to be drafted higher than this ranking in most drafts, but I have reasons to believe he will have a difficult time producing at the same rate he did last year. First off, he had the advantage of having the most snaps played by any linebacker in the league in 2013. This undoubtedly gave him a leg up in terms of racking up fantasy points. On a per snap basis, he ranked 36 in fantasy points scored behind teammate Mychal Kendricks. Secondly, Kendricks seemed to gain steam as the season wore on whereas the opposite could be said of Ryans. I anticipate a changing of the guard in 2014 with Kendricks becoming the linebacker to own in Philly and Ryans settling back down into a solid LB2 role.

Stephen Tulloch 19. MLB Stephen Tulloch (DET) - Tulloch had far and away his best statistical season as a Lion with 93 solo tackles, 43 assists, and 3.5 sacks. I've admittedly been a bit low on him since he left Tennessee, but he's proven he's capable of consistently producing high-end linebacker #2 numbers for us. That said, I'm bumping him up my rankings this season. Welcome back inside the top 25 Mr. Tulloch!

Jerrell Freeman 20. ILB Jerrell Freeman (IND) - Freeman, an undrafted free agent out of Mary Hardin-Baylor, has become an integral part of the Colts defense. He's averaged over 135 total tackles over his first two seasons as an NFL starter and grew his big play production drastically last year with 5.5 sacks and 6 forced fumbles. He loses some value with the addition of D'Qwell Jackson, but still projects to be a fairly solid LB2-.


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Questions, comments, or concerns with any of these rankings? If so, please let me know by posting a comment below or emailing me at theidpguru@idpguru.com. You can also hit me up on Twitter


Last Updated: August 17, 2014
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33 comments :

Ron Biz said...

Keeper league question. We have rewards for big plays. Would you drop Von Miller for Mychal Kendricks?

Ron Biz said...

Also...I just dropped Daryl Washington because of his legal issues. Opinions on the length of his suspension? You think it was a mistake to drop him?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Ron Biz
No. I'd keep Von Miller. As far Washington, it all depends. I've been holding him in most leagues since I don't have much to gain by dropping him at this point and am waiting to see if/how long he's out.

AHageman said...

Kendricks will make the top 15 this year. Man is a beast

AHageman said...

I'd trade Miller and roll with Kendricks

Jessica Rude said...

i think its time to update guru 5-7 likely wont play a down this season sadly

Jonny B said...

I can pick up Minter, Kendricks, Briggs( yeah I know but he scored well in my league when he was healthy last year) Cushing, Jackson, Riley, Brad Jones(looks like he might come back to 2012 form)

I have Greenway but didnt like the stat sheet I looked at from last year. I know he had the broken hand but he is just a tackle machine. We do have tackle for loses +1 then avg scoring.

Jonny B said...

So I am going with Briggs am I crazy? He had 5 games with 10+ in my league. the other 8,9.5. I am not counting the game he came back. So the only bad game would be week one. I know he is old but he would of been in the top 10 if he was on hurt in my league.

Jonny B said...

I also have Willis and Mayo as my one/two.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Jonny B
I think Cushing has the biggest upside but carries a decent amount of risk given his injury history. Briggs is a solid pickup and will be a high floor option with little tackle competition. I also like Kendricks, but would take my risk on Cushing. I'm high on Jones as a big time sleeper, but he's best served as a later round value.

Net net, I'd go with Cushing personally. But can understand going with Briggs if you are a more risk-averse drafter.

Jonny B said...

So I ended up going with Cushing but not seeing what you are seeing? Can I have a little more insight? He had a great Rookie year but other than that has not really been that great. Even with out the injuries just not seeing what you are seeing but has a good week 1 match up so Ill go with that.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Jonny B
When healthy, the guy is an absolute athlethic freak. But the biggest thing is he has no tackle competition. Who on the team is going to steal tackles away? As I alluded to above, despite low tackle numbers last year, Cushing was actually playing extremely well before his injury, producing a tackle on 14.6% of his snaps (7th best % in the NFL for players with over 300 snaps). The Texans defense projects to be on the field more than they have in recent years as their offense isn't quite what it use to be, so that should translate to more tackle opportunity. Lastly, Cushing has above average pass rushing skills and could easily notch 4-5 sacks.

Jonny B said...

Thanks for the info and I do agree just have been burned by him many times so I am not sure.

ok so Bloom picked Kendricks in a mock as the 5th overall LB. I don't know what the rules are but It was over Willis, Wagner, Dansby, Johnson, Mayo, Worrilow, Cushing. I am a big fan of Kendricks and Blooms should I look more into this? It really had my eyes light up

Devin said...

Why no love for Kiko?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Jonny B
Although I like Kendricks a lot, there is too much risk and not enough reward for a top 5 selection.Bloom likes to make splashy picks, so I wouldn't put too much stock in it. I'd rather have the high floor and similar, if not bigger, upside of Willis.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Devin
Kiko is out for the year with a torn ACL.

Devin said...

Oops never mind I see Alonso got hurt :(

Max ax said...

How do you feel about julius peppers? I drafted him cause he is listed as a d lineman in my league.

Brent Deangelis said...

does angerer affect worrilow at all?

Juggernaut said...

Ryan, I am in a very competitive 14 team Dynasty League which we just drafted. The player's pool is exhausted. I dropped a DB when I saw that Rolando Mcclain was being considered for MLB for Dallas. Unfortunately, I now have to drop a player from my offense or trade a player to fill that DB spot. Please give me your opinion from this list of who I should drop or trade for a DB: Kenny Stills NO - WR; Devonta Freeman Atl - RB; Andre Williams NYG - RB; DeAndre Hopkins Hou - WR; Tre Mason StL - RB; Bryce Brown Buf - RB; Marcus Wheaton PIT - WR

I get to keep one rookie at the end of the year for next year's team.

I know you are an IDP expert, but am hoping you can help with this offensive delimna - Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

He's just backup depth, so no. Worrilow is locked in as the every down starter.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

McClain seems like a downgrade over everyone listed. For as bad as the Cowboys current linebacker lineup is, McClain is still not in football shape and hadn't shown much of a desire to be a legit NFL player in a couple years.

Leon Vining said...

Hey Guru,

Is there a reason that Briggs is getting no love this year? He was such a beast last year before he went down. Who would be a better high upside LB4 between Briggs, Butler, and the winner of the Dal MLB position? Thank you sir.

Leon Vining said...

Or Minter, to add another name. Thanks.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

I actually have Briggs in the top 25 and agree he's undervalued. Butler probably has a little better upside but Briggs is the safer play. So I'd probably keep Briggs unless you can afford to get riskier with this position.

Leon Vining said...

Thanks. In addition to Lavonte David, my other LB's are Perry and Woodyard at your recommendation. You got the best rankings I can find around. Much appreciative.

Gregory Thomas said...

What do you think of Shazier in big play leagues?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Gregory Thomas
I think he has 3-5 sack potential if LeBeau trusts him enough to get after the passer in fire zone blitz packages.

Philip Sperling said...

Woodyard over Timmons, right?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Philip Sperling
Yes.

Philip Sperling said...

Thanks!
Great site, man. I was able to grab Riley, Woodyard, and Kendricks as my LBs without picking early at all.

Sniper said...

Daryl smith or Demeco Ryan's

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Sniper
Ryans

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