2013 IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 2

Hello and welcome back to the IDPGuru.com's most popular in-season article, IDP Waiver Wire Pickups, which will be releasing every Tuesday of the regular season.

Let's start things off by going through some IDP news, notes, and commentary from Week 1 of the NFL season.

The Eagles weren't kidding when they said they were going to run a high-paced offense. They ran an astounding 53 plays in the first half alone. This said, expect Philadelphia to be a superb matchup for IDPs this season.

Larry Foote's season is over after suffering a torn bicep. As of right now, none of his replacements look like viable fantasy options.

The Saints opted to go with a 3 safety set on the vast majority of their defensive plays with Roman Harper, Kenny Vaccaro, and Malcolm Jenkins all playing significant time against the Falcons vaunted passing attack. I'm a bit concerned about Harper's week to week consistency however as it seems like Vaccaro has replaced him in base packages. If this sticks, Harper will be a matchup dependent, high variance DB1 moving forward.

Despite a highlight filled preseason, Jon Bostic failed to see the field outside of a handful of special teams plays in his NFL regular season debut. Instead, it was D.J. Williams starting at MLB and playing in the base packages. I wasn't as high as others on Bostic's immediate value anyway as he needs to improve in pass coverage before I think the Bears trust him as an every down backer. Nevertheless, Williams isn't much of a fantasy commodity at this point either. This is shaping up as a situation to avoid.

Mason Foster's improved play in coverage seems to have paid dividends as he was in there for the majority of the Bucs' snaps in their Week 1 tilt against the Jets. As long as he continues to play 80%+ of the snaps, he's worth rostering as an LB3+.

Similar to fellow rookie Jon Bostic, Arthur Brown only played a handful of snaps. I expect the Ravens to slowly dial up his playing time as the season progresses as he was the most NFL-ready linebacker coming out of the draft and Josh Bynes is nothing special. Until he starts seeing starter snaps though, he should be left on the bench in redraft leagues

Russell Allen
left his owners with a bad taste in their mouths with a 2 tackle performance on Sunday. This was largely a result of him missing nearly 2/3 of the team's snaps as he sat in subpackages in favor of veteran Geno Hayes. It's yet to be seen whether this was due to Allen not being fully healthy or if it's more of a long-term decision. Either way, my gut tells me to sell low on Allen.

Donald Butler was in full on tackle monger mode against the Texans on MNF. He has little competition for tackles, especially with Manti Teo out, and looks to finally have arrived as the LB1 we've thought he was going to be.

Now onto The Guru's IDP waiver wire selections for Week 2!

(Please note that a majority of these pickups are long-term, rest of season pickups as opposed to matchup-type recommendations. As the season progresses and the waiver wire becomes more thin and matchup information becomes more reliable, the focus of this article will shift more towards recommendations based on weekly matchup.)

Defensive Linemen

LDT Nick Fairley (DET) - Fairley had an impressive end to his 2012 season with 19 solo tackles and 5 sacks in his final five games. He's carried that momentum into this season with 1.5 sacks in the Lions' season opener. He's probably going to be underowned this year as he gets overshadowed by Ndamkong Suh, but there's a good chance Fairley puts up the better numbers of the two this season.

LDT Dontari Poe (KC) -
Poe looked like an absolute beast of a man in the preseason and he showed no signs of slowing down with a 5-1-1.5 stat line in the season opener against the Jaguars. He will have another nice matchup against a shaky Cowboys interior line this week. I'm expecting 3-4 solos and a good chance for a sack.

LDE Jason Hunter (OAK) - The release of aging veteran Andre Carter swung the door wide open for Hunter to prove to the coaching staff that he can be viable starter for them this season. 4 total tackles, a sack, and 2 QB hits should help him cement his role as a starter. Add in the fact that he gets to play the Chad Henne and the Jaguars next week, who gave up six sacks, and you have a nice DL3 addition for the coming week.

LDE Desmond Bryant (CLE)
- The "Other Dez Bryant" was on my watch list heading into the season; he was one of the more underrated defensive linemen in the league last year and figures to play a pivotal role in Ray Horton's aggresive 3-4 scheme. He got off to a great start with 2 sacks in Week 1 against the Dolphins and will look to continue his strong play against the Ravens in Week 2. He's classified as a DT in some leagues, if that's the case, grab him and ride him a solid DT1- waiver wire pickup.


Linebackers

WLB Zach Brown (TEN) - For a player with 90+ total tackles, 6 sacks, and 3 INTs, Brown was heavily undervalued heading into this season (even before Colin McCarthy lost the starting MLB job). Brown continued to prove people wrong with 8 solos and 2 sacks against the Jaguars' pathetic excuse for an offensive line. Brown not put up 100+ solos, but 80-85 solos with a handful of sacks and other big plays makes him an LB2-LB2+ in balanced and big play leagues, respectively.

MLB Akeem Dent (ATL) - My IDP counterpart Jene Bramel over at Footballguys.com has been pumping Dent all off-season. And when Jene speaks, I listen. Dent has finally snagged the every down role away from veteran Stephen Nicholas. The 3rd year player out of Georgia put up a very solid 11 total tackles, two of which went for a loss. I wouldn't be surprised of Dent comes close to matching Sean Weatherspoon's numbers come end of the year.

MLB Erin Henderson (MIN) -
Henderson was listed as a sleeper within my 2013 Fantasy Football Draft Guide. He played 79 of 80 snaps in the Vikings' matchup against Detroit and racked up 11 total tackles, INT, and a PD in the process. Meanwhile, Henderson's main preseason playing time threat, Desmond Bishop, didn't play a single snap in the contest. Although Henderson's output was aided by the relatively large amount of defensive snaps and the Lions' spread looks which forced them into two linebacker sets, he's shaping up to be a solid LB2- option in balanced and tackle heavy leagues.

SILB Jasper Brinkley (ARI) - Brinkley's strong preseason play carried over into Week 1 of the regular season as he managed 8 solo tackles against 21 rushing attempts (from RBs). He's likely only going to be a starter through Week 4 as he will probably return back to the bench when Daryl Washington comes back from suspension. He's a nice short-term, upside LB3 in the interim, however.

OLB Alec Ogletree (STL) - I've been very interested to see Ogletree play in a game that matters. And he didn't disappoint. He actually managed to statistically out tackle his teammate James Laurinaitis and anytime that happens, I take notice. Now I don't expect that trend to continue throughout the season, but there's no reason to believe he can't put up 80-85 solos on that defense where he has limited competition for tackles outside of the aforementioned Laurinaitis. The one caveat is the St. Louis scorekeeper continues to be EXTREMELY stingy with issuing assists as he only gave away 2 in the entire game last week.


Defensive Backs

SS Duke Ihenacho (DEN) - IDP owners have been waiting with baited breath over the last couple of seasons for someone to step up and become a fantasy force in the Broncos strong safety position, and it seems as though our wish has been granted with the arrival of Duke Ihenacho. Besides having a great name, "'Nacho" had quite the coming out party with 11 solo tackles and 3 pass deflections. Obviously, that type of production is unsustainable, but I expect there to be a good amount of tackle opportunity behind a relatively inexperienced set of linebackers. Don't overspend/over-prioritize Duke, but if you can grab him without giving up a ton in opportunity costs, do it.

SS Da'Norris Searcy (BUF) - I don't want to sound like a broken record, but the strong safety position in Buffalo is a fantasy gold mine. It has been for the last several seasons and it looks to be the case again this year. With Jairus Byrd out, Searcy got the start at SS with Aaron Williams moving to FS. I expect to Byrd to miss at least a couple more games as he's stated that he won't play until he feels "100%." Additionally, he doesn't have a ton of motivation to push himself as he's currently in a contract dispute with the Bills. That said, Searcy should be a very nice (DB1) play the next couple of weeks.

FS Tyrann Mathieu (ARI) - Mathieu was impressive in his first career start as he registered 7 solo tackles and an impressive forced fumble. Keep in mind however that he only played in 58% of the snaps and is not yet a full-time starter. I think that will change in the near future and the matchup against the Lions next week should help keep his snap counts high. That said, temper your expectations slightly and view the Honey Badger more as a DB3+/DB3- in big play and balanced leagues accordingly.

SS Ryan Mundy (NYG) - Mundy may be the least exciting name on this list, but he should serve as a viable bye week/injury filler moving forward. He played nearly every snap against the Cowboys and should see very good tackle opportunity behind one of the more suspect linebacking crews to enter the league in a while. 4-6 solos and a couple assists every week are a reasonable expectation.


If you have any questions, feel free to email me at theidpguru@idpguru.com or follow me on Twitter. Also, feel free to post any questions or comments for me in the comments section of this post.

Last Updated: September 10, 2013
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32 comments :

65c95740-1a0d-11e3-8db7-000bcdcb8a73 said...

Hey, great as usual Ryan. I'm in a league with super high points for tackles and sacks. 2 LBS, 2 DL's, 2 DB's and 2 Flex Defenders.

I was actually thinking about dropping Michael Johnson for Dontari Poe. I was never high on Michael in the first place, was more keen on Dunlap. I'm thinking Poe can give me a Geno Atkins type situation from last year. What are your thoughts. Also, do you like Searcy more than Nacho?

Nate said...

Hey, I was wondering of these players, which 2 would you keep as S/DB?

Patrick Chung (own already)
John Cyprien (own already)
Duke Ihenacho (waivers)
Da'Norris Searcy (waivers)

Chung and Cyprien didn't put up very good fantasy totals, but I wasn't sure if that was because of poor play or poor opportunities.

Nate said...

Hi Ryan,

Thanks for the great article!

I've got Ellerbe and was disappointed this week. Would you advise dropping him for any of: Dent, Brad Jones, or Henderson?

Also, Trent Cole and Whitney Mercilus have DE eligibility in my tackle heavy league. Would you consider them as DL1, and perhaps better than Poe/Fairly?

Thanks Dude!

-Nathan

Thomas said...

Guru,
IDP league 2 LBs, 2 DBs, 2 DLs. Solo 1, Assist .50, Sack 4, Interception 5, Fumble Force 2.5, Fumble Recovery 2.5, Defensive Touchdown 7, Safety 5, Pass Defended .5, Block Kick 5,
Going forward, who do you like better out of these LB's. I currently have Lawrence Timmons and Wesley Woodyard rostered at my starting LBs. On the wire: Donald Butler, Zach Brown, or Akeem Dent. Should I replace either Timmons or Woodyard for any of the three I mentioned?
Thanks Guru,
Coach T

footguy said...

What do you think of Thomas Davis??

p.s. what happen to your sit/start charts??

Tom Piccinni said...

what about sheldon richardson? he's a beast! debating him vs poe. thanks

Bernard Shepard said...

Guru,

Should I consider dropping Henry Melton(Chi, DT) for Dontari Poe (Chi, DT) for week 2?

Thanks for the help!

Sweet_stylez said...

In our league we start 1 DB (can be a S or CB), 1 S and 1 CB. The scoring is as follows:
Tackle Solo 1.5
Tackle Assist 0.75
Interception 3
Defensive Touchdown 6
Pass Defended 1
FF & FR 2 each

My current team has:
Morgan Burnett, S
Jon Cyprien, S
Antrel Rolle, S
Ladarius Webb, CB
Devin McCourty, CB

I can pickup:
Da'Norris Searcy, S
Barry Church, S
Duke Ihenacho, S
Ryan Mundy, S
Robert McClain, CB
Sam Shields, CB
Brandon Boykin, CB

Which 5 (3 Safeties and 2 CBs) should I have going forward?
Thanks
Steve

ryno2020 said...

Do you think Eric Reid has the potential to be a DB1? He was all over the place on Sun. (almost had 2 int's) and teams are going to have to pass a ton verse the Niners this year. Thanks

Tone said...

I have nick fairley and Greg Hardy. Poe was the number 1 in our league this week shoudl I pick him up over either of those guys?

2 points for solo 1 for assist 2 for sacks and 2 for pass breakups

Unknown said...

Guru,

Great article as usual. I'm in a tackle heavy & Big play 1pt assist tackle, 2pt solo, 5sack, 5int. Would you add any of these guys based on the team that I have?

LB Nick Roach
LB Erin Henderson
LB Kiko Alonso
DL JJ Watt
DB Duke "Nacho"

Zack Brown, Mason Foster, Donald Butler, Akeem Dent.

Thanks,

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@65c95740-1a0d-11e3-8db7-000bcdcb8a73
I'd keep Johnson. He's still a low-end DL1. I like Nacho more than Searcy as his playing time is more of a given.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Nate
Cyprien and Nacho

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Nate
I would drop Ellerbe for Jones. I think Mercilus is a DL2+ and like him best of those listed.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Thomas
I like Butler a lot. But since this is scoring system is slanted towards big plays, I would probably stick with Timmons and Woodyard since they tend to get more sacks.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@footguy
I like Davis as an LB3 in most moderate to deeper leagues. Starts and Sits are still here. They release on Fridays.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Tom Piccinni
I like Richardson as well. Was just more impressed with Poe during the pre-season and rookie DLs tend to be inconsistent.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Bernard Shepard
They are close. I'd probably stick with Melton for the time being as he has a longer, more proven track record of being fantasy consistent than Poe does.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Sweet_stylez
I'd roll with Burnett, Cyprien, Nacho, Webb, and McCourty.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@ryno2020
I don't think he has DB1 value. He's not likely to put up great tackle numbers playing behind Bowman and Willis. He may get a handful of INTs, but I typically don't pick up players banking on that.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Tone
I'd keep Fairley and Hardy.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Unknown
I'd drop Henderson for Butler.

campour said...

I'm in a 16 team IDP league where we run two DT's and two DE's in addition to LBs, CBs, and Safeties. Sacks and interceptions are worth 6 points each while solo tackles are 1 pt and assisted tackles are 1/2 pt. Currently, I have Chris Long and Dunlap as my DEs and Linval Joseph and Melton as my DTs. Anthony Spencer is available on wire and has DE eligibility. Would you drop Long or Dunlap for him? Also, thoughts on Joseph and Melton in a league this deep? Would you drop either one of them for another option? Any suggestions for DTs you like that could be available and better options in a league this deep? Thanks in advance. My favorite fantasy site by a longshot Ryan.

Mike V said...

In a 2 DB/2 LB league, with L. David and J. Freeman at LB, and H. Smith and Cyprien at DB, I have Bruce Carter and the suspended D. Washington at backup LB.

I recently picked up Mathieu off waivers as my only backup DB. Would you drop Washington for Barry Church who is also on waivers? I feel like I should be more concerned with shoring up my DB2 position than backup LB, with Cyprien having a quiet week 1.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@campour
I'd stick with Long and Dunlap. Higher sack potential than Spencer. DTs seems solid to me for a 16 team league.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Mike V
I'd definitely keep Washington. I'm not as high on Church as others in that Tampa-2 shell.

Michael Middleton said...

Hi Ryan, I play in a pretty deep 16 team league where we start 11 IDP's. I am pretty weak at DE. I currently have: Cameron Jordan, Adrian Clayborn, Derek Wolfe and Jason Jones. I am thinking I need to try to find a replacement for Jones. Do you like any of the following available players on waivers over Jones?

George Selvie

William Hayes

Daniel Teo'Nesheim

Matt Shaugnessy (I'm thinking this might be the one?)

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Michael Middleton
None are great options IMO. I'd probably stick with Jones at this point. Shaughnessy would be my next choice though.

Blake Davis said...

I'm surprised that neither Barry Church or Leonard Johnson made your list. What are your thoughts on them?

Chase said...

Hey man!
I've got ellerbe Houston and Harris what two should I start this week!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Blake Davis
Not as high on Church. Tampa 2 will likely limit his value and he plays behind two of the better LBs in the leagues. Johnson is a very nice CB play this week. But more of a week-to-week matchup guy.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Chase
Ellerbe and Houston

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