2013 IDP Rookies

NOTE: THESE ARE REDRAFT ROOKIE RANKINGS!

Outside of Dion Jordan and Ezekiel Ansah, there aren't many prospects who stand out as potential long-term DL2+ fantasy options. This is in large part due to the value of several linemen falling post-draft due to role/scheme changes (e.g. Carradine, Mingo, Werner).

Those in DT-required leagues should see an increase in viable starters at this position as this year's draft class was fairly rich with defensive tackle talent. 

Although there isn't a sure-fire elite LB1 prospect this year as there was in 2012 with Luke Kuechly, there are a slew of linebackers who could significantly contribute to teams this season. At the onset of the offseason, it looked as though Arthur Brown had the best chance at top 25 numbers, however hernia surgery has stunted his development for the time being and he's not likely to open as the season as a starter as originally expected. That leaves Kiko Alonso as the fantasy frontrunner at the rookie LB position to begin the year followed by Alec Ogletree in St. Louis. After that, there are several players who fall into the LB4 tier including Manti Te'o, Sio Moore, and Kevin Minter.

There are two potential studs in the outside linebacker rookie group in Barkevious Mingo (now dealing with a serious injury) and Jarvis Jones, but outside of that small group, most will go undrafted outside of deep, big-play leagues.

A perfect storm hit this year to create the strongest IDP safety rookie class in recent memory. Nearly every top-notch prospect went to a team with a strong immediate safety need. Kenny Vaccaro, Jonathan Cyprien, and Matt Elam all have elite DB1 potential in the long-term. And a handful of other safeties have at least DB2- future value.

The cornerback position is quite deep as well this season. However, it's more difficult to flesh out their fantasy value at this time as so much is dependent on hard to predict variables. Your best bets as of right now are Johnthan Banks and Xavier Rhodes.

Hopefully, these rankings will serve as a decent guideline as you attempt to navigate through the treacherous waters of this year's rookie drafts. Good luck to all!


Scoring System:
Solo Tackle = 1.5 points
Assist = 0.75 point
Sack = 5 points
Interception = 5 points
Forced Fumble = 4 points
Fumble Recovery = 4 points



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Last Updated: September 4, 2013
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11 comments :

Jared Lawson said...

I like where you have Manti Teo - he won't be where a lot of SD fans want him. Fantasy Football IDP

Brandon DuBreuil said...

No Jarvis jones?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Brandon DuBreuil
He's literally sitting at #21 in my mind. I tend to avoid rookie rush linebackers in balanced scoring systems which is what these rankings are based upon.

Nick Barnett said...

Ryan... any thoughts on DJ Swearinger?? I noticed you did no rank him on here, yet other IDP writers feel he will have a larger impact than Cyprien and Elam. Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Nick Barnett
Not as high on him as others. I feel like Cyprien is the IDP safety to own this year. Swearinger would likely fall into the 20-25 range in these rankings.

dave said...

How well do you think TJ McDonald will do this year? Tackle numbers - anywhere near Mikell?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@dave
I'm not quite as high on him as others. I think he's a decent DB4+, but I don't see Mikell type numbers off the bat.

SwinganaMiss said...

What about Eric Reid? Can he be useful at the backend of the 49er D?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@SwinganaMiss
Don't really like him for fantasy purposes. Too strong of a front seven for much tackle opportunity to present itself to him. Plus, defense gets off the field in short order.

M Sae said...

How many spots does Ogletree get bumped up with Jo-Lonn Dunbar gone? I had Bostic (big preseason) but opted to swap him for Alec.. Is he for sure an every down backer?
Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@M Sae
He gets a bump, but I still like Alonso more. Kiko will be going up to #1 in my revised rankings with Ogletree sliding to #2 and Cyprien to #3. Ogletree is very likely to play every down.

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