2012 IDP Draft Rankings - Defensive Linemen (Redraft)

I will continually update these rankings throughout the off-season to reflect changes in free agency, defensive schemes, defensive playing time, rookie draft selections, etc.

Drafting Philosophy:
Defensive lineman are by far the most inconsistent week-to-week fantasy point producers. Many lineman will go three or four weeks without registering a sack and then exactly when you drop them, they have a multiple sack game. This can be extremely frustrating for fantasy owners. In addition, there aren't many unknown lineman that emerge during the season and consequently the waiver wire is usually not packed with worthwhile fantasy lineman.

With this being said, in order to lessen my "cognitive dissonance", I try to use many of my early round defensive draft picks on defensive linemen. Obtaining guys like Jared Allen and Trent Cole allows me to plug them in my roster and not worry about their ups and downs throughout the season, since they have proven their consistency throughout their careers.

Scoring System:
Solo Tackle = 2 points
Assist = 1 point
Sack = 7 points
Interception = 7 points
Forced Fumble = 5 points
Fumble Recovery = 5 points

Key:
DSC = Possible Defensive Scheme Change
S = Sleeper/Undervalued Player
B = Bust/Overvalued Player
R = Injury Risk


Tier 1


Jason Pierre-Paul 1. RDE Jason Pierre-Paul- JPP was straight up nasty in 2011. His freakish athleticism combined with a never give up attitude allowed him to put up a ridiculous 88 total tackles and 17 sacks. The scary part is he's still quite raw and will only become more polished with time. Add in the fact that he's only 23 and is surrounded by 2 elite defensive ends and you have the makings for a potential top overall IDP pick.

Jared Allen 2. RDE Jared Allen (MIN) - In any other year, Allen's performance would have been a much bigger story in the media as he was only a sack away from breaking the all-time record for sacks (23). In my leagues, his fantasy production was equal to or slightly better than Pierre-Paul. However, Allen is 7 years his senior and will face constant double teams on a mediocre defensive line in Minnesota. I still wouldn't fault somebody for taking Allen over JPP as he obviously has a longer track record of consistency and production. They are essentially 1 and 1a in my book.

Trent Cole 3. RDE Trent Cole (PHI) - Cole is one of my favorite fantasy DLs to draft as he is one of the more consistent point producers not only on a year-to-year basis but on a week-to-week basis as well. Despite losing 3 games due to a leg injury and being hampered for several more, he still finished with above average tackle numbers and double digit sacks which was good enough for a top 15 finish in most leagues. This is one defensive lineman you shouldn't have any concerns about.

Mario Williams 4. RDE Mario Williams (HOU) - It's unfair to even look at Williams' 2011 numbers or performance as he was playing at a new position and suffered a season-ending injury very early on in the season. 2012 should be a much more productive year for Super Mario as he's moving back to his natural RDE position in Buffalo where he'll be a good bet for double digit sacks once again. The addition of Mark Anderson on the strong side will keep offenses honest and allow Mario to face a good percentage of one-on-one matchups. Welcome back to the elite tier Mario! DSC

Justin Tuck 5. RDE Justin Tuck (NYG) - A nagging neck injury really derailed Tuck's entire 2011 season. Although he only missed a total of 5 games due to the injury, he was visibly hindered by injury and lacked the explosiveness he usually possesses. He should be back to his normal self in 2012.



Tier 2

Jason Babin 6. LDE Jason Babin (PHI) - Babin silenced any doubters with 18 sacks last year for the Eagles. He had 6 games in which he registered 2 sacks or more and anchored the defensive line while Trent Cole was nursing himself back from injury. He won't rack up a ton of tackles playing in the wide 9 technique, but he's still one of the top sack artists in the league and should be a top 10 pick in all balanced and sack-heavy leagues.

Elvis Dumervil 7. RDE Elvis Dumervil (DEN) - The first half of the season was really a struggle for Dumervil as he was shaking off the rust after missing the entire 2010 season with a torn chest muscle. Through the season's first 8 games he only had 8 tackles and zero sacks. Elvis really found his groove in the 2nd half of the season however compiling a sack in 8 straight games and finishing the year with a solid 9.5 sacks. He has the potential to leap into the top 5 if he can stay healthy. Good value with Dumervil in this year's drafts. S

Julius Peppers 8. RDE Julius Peppers (CAR) - Peppers is one of the elite pass rushers in the NFL and has made his impact clearly felt since signing with the Bears. He reached double digit sacks for the 6th time in his career despite struggling through some injuries throughout the course of the season. He does have a couple of potential issues that slightly concern me. First, his tackle numbers were the lowest since his rookie season. Secondly, the Bears have no serious pass rushing threat opposite Peppers which means he gets constantly double teamed. Add in the age factor (32) and there's some cause for concern (especially in dynasty leagues). However, his high marks for consistency keep him at the bottom edge of of the top 10 for this season. B

Chris Long 9. RDE Chris Long (STL) - Chris Long (the son of former NFL defensive lineman Howie Long) has been trending upward each and every year he's been in the league. His sack production has steadily increased from 4 in his rookie season to 13 last season and he benefits greatly from playing in the NFC West where he gets to face the pourous lines of the Seahawks, 49ers, and Cardinals a combined 6 times each year. He still needs to show he can perform at a high level against elite offensive tackles before he can be considered an elite pass rusher but he still warrants top 10 fantasy consideration regardless.

Charles Johnson 10. RDE Charles Johnson (CAR) - Johnson finished the year with a respectable 9 sacks and never went longer than 2 weeks without a sack. However, he had no multiple sack games and failed to make a big splash in any fantasy weeks. He will need to become more dominant to break though into the top 10. He's still a solid low-end DL1 choice, however.


Cliff Avril 11. LDE Cliff Avril (DET) - Much like Chris Long, Avril's year-to-year production has been trending upward and he has the talent and surrounding cast to be a clear cut DL1. The Lions franchise tagged him this year and seem unwilling to give him a long-term contract until he proves he can produce top level numbers once again this season. Avril is a solid DL2+ choice with DL1 potential in a contract year.



Tier 3


Osi Umenyiora 12. LDE Osi Umenyiora (NYG) - Albeit one of the bigger crybabies in the league, Umenyiora once again proved that he deserves a long-term contract extension. He strung together 9.5 sacks in the 9 games in which he played which would have been good enough for a top 12 finish over the course of a full season. Overall playing time is a slight concern, but look for the Giants to rotate him in often to keep Tuck and JPP fresh. He should see enough snaps to be a top 15 DL. Additionally, he just had his contract restructured which means he will be able to test the free agent market come next season. Look for this to create a highly-motivated Osi, which is a dangerous thing.


Chris Clemons 13. RDE Chris Clemons (SEA) - Clemons, an undrafted free agent out of Georgia, has steadily developed into one of the more threatening situational pass rushers in the league. He's garnered double digit sacks in back to back seasons and has a plethora of favorable matchups playing in the NFC West. He doesn't see enough snaps to warrant being a top 10 pick, but he's still a solid DL1-/DL2+ option.

14. LDE Calais Campbell (ARI) - At 6'8', 300 pounds, Campbell is one of the most formidable 3-4 DEs in the NFL and should be the first of his kind off the board. Playing in a 3-4 scheme ultimately limits his sack potential and he will likely max out around 9-11 sacks, but he will give you very nice tackle totals as well as more week-to-week consistency than players in his same draft range.


Cameron Wake 15. RDE Cameron Wake (MIA) - Wake is a new addition to the defensive lineman club as he will be moving from outside linebacker to defensive end in Miami's new 4-3 scheme. I expect his production to be pretty similar to that of previous years making him a solid DL2. S

Jabaal Sheard 16. RDE Jabaal Sheard (CLE) - Sheard held up incredibly well in his rookie season for being on the field for 80-90% of the Brown's defensive plays. It typically takes defensive ends 2-3 full seasons before they become fantasy relative which makes Sheard's 8.5 sacks and 55 tackles that much more impressive. Don't expect a significant growth in production, but it's reasonable to think he will produce similar numbers to last season.

Justin Smith 17. LDE Justin Smith (SF) - Smith has been a model of consistency throughout his 11 year career in the NFL. You can bank on him for 45-50 solo tackles and 6-8 sacks each year. He has a limited ceiling but also one of the highest floors of any IDP. He would make a perfect addition to anyone's team as a DL2.

Kamerion Wimbley 18. LDE Kamerion Wimbley (TEN) - Like the aforementioned Cameron Wake, Wimbley will be transitioning from outside rush linebacker to defensive end in his new home of Tennessee. His seven sacks last year were a bit fluky as 4 of them came in one game against the Chargers. Even with this said, he's still typically good for 6-9 sacks a year and he will be playing on an underrated defensive line. He's a sneaky option for those willing to get a little risky with their DL2 spot.

J.J. Watt 19. RDE J.J. Watt (HOU) - Watt's constant motor and great technique allowed him to excel in his rookie season. This guy gets it and is going to be a solid player for a long time (a la Justin Smith). His ceiling is somewhat limited by the Texans defensive system but he's one of the safest picks remaining at this point in most drafts.

Robert Quinn 20. RDE Robert Quinn (STL) - Quinn is a top level talent and produced at a relatively good rate in his rookie season (5 sacks). He's one of the more boom/bust picks on this list as his value honestly could fall anywhere from DL1-/DL4+. At this point in the rankings, his upside is worth the risk. S


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Last Updated: August 14, 2012
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30 comments:

Tristan said...

Hey! This is my first offseason in an IDP league.. I didn't do too bad last year (my first year). But I struggled a bit in the draft and I'm unsure now who brings the most value as a keeper.(I can only choose 1. I really like Desmond Bishop as an option (as a GB fan a little biased) But he put up a few great games last year that really helped me out. I also have Stephen Tulloch,Cortland Finnegan, Jabaal Sheard though. I'm not sure who brings the most value game to game. Or if theres a certain position most people seem to gravitate towards. Any thoughts??
Also id like to say that the IDP league experience has been fun! And an interested change from my usual Standard league. I have noticed though that it kinda sucks when i have a corner (for example) that shuts down a receiver all game, But doesn't get rewarded with any points because the ball was never thrown to him!! hahaha frustrating sometimes. Anyways thanks a lot!
-Tristan

Tristan said...

Oh! Also we have 1 whole defense on our teams. Mine is Green Bay.
-Tristan

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Tristan
Definitely keep Bishop. He's a top 3 LB coming into this season.

austin said...

what are your thoughts on coples? hes looked pretty good through the pre season.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@austin
I agree that he looked good. The problem is the scheme and consequently playing time. I think Coples is a bit miscast in a 3-4, but has done very well in the 4-3. If the Jets play a majority of the snaps in the 4-3, Coples could have some nice value. Otherwise, he's just a guy to keep an eye during the first few weeks of the season.

Anonymous said...

Just curious to your thoughts on Chandler Jones? He has looked good so far, is he close to the top 20?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

I really like Jones a lot. I have him in the 20-30 range. I wouldn't blame someone for taking him in the closer to 20 however because his upside is that good. In any other year, he would be ranked in that area but the DL position is actually quite deep this season.

austin said...

what about jerry hughes from indy. i'm in an auction league and looking for dl's i can get on the cheap.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@austin
Honestly, I don't even have Hughes in my top 80 for linemen. It depends on how deep you're league is and who is available, but a guy like Paul Kruger represents some really nice value if he's classified as a DL in your league. To a lesser extent, the same could be said about Trevor Scott. Derek Wolfe is probably worth a look in very deep leagues as well.

austin said...

i was just looking at what hes done in preseason so far. pretty impressive.

grasshopper said...

I have J.Allen and T.Cole as my DEs (grabbed IDPs while the other guys went offense). Anyway, I can pick up R. Quinn as back-up. Love the guy, how about you?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@grasshopper
I like Quinn a lot as well. I have him ranked at #20 and he'd be higher in previous seasons where DL depth wasn't as strong. He's still a bit of a risk however as he's only entering into his 2nd season and has yet to put up big numbers. But it's a risk I'm willing to take based off of his play in a limited role last season, his play so far this preseason and in camp, and his schedule playing in the NFC West.

brandop said...

Would you drop Dave Ball for an Andre Branch or Quinton Coples in a deep 16 team IDP? I have Ball currently on my bench. Would either guy be worth a flyer for future upside?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@brandop
Yes, I would definitely drop Ball for Andre Branch, or Coples for that matter. But go with Branch out of those two options.

Andrew said...

I have Justin Smith, Chris Clemons and Darnell Dockett. How should I feel about my De's?

Andrew said...

This league seems to be better for DE's that has a fair amount of tackles and sacks rather than a guy that just puts up high sack totals

Ryan Sitzmann said...

Depends on scoring system, how many teams are in your league, etc. Assuming balanced scoring, Clemons and Smith are top 20 DLs. Dockett is underrated by many coming into this season as he was outshined by Calais Campbell last year. With that said, he's still a high floor DL3 IMO.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

Not sure what you mean by league. If you mean the scoring system listed above, it's basically a balanced scoring system as opposed to sack-heavy or tackle-heavy.

grasshopper said...

How would you rank D. Wolfe vs G. Atkins as DTs. Wolfe is listed as a DT/DE in my league.

Jo Bob said...

Do you do rankings where you mix the defensive players and the offensive players? This is my first year doing IDP and I'm not sure when you're supposed to start drafting defensive players.
Thanks.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@grasshopper
Atkins is the safer play, but if Wolfe is quickly climbing up my ranks. I think he has more upside than Atkins. Really depends on how risky you want to get at the position and how solid/weak your other DLs are.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Jo Bob
I don't have a mix of offense and defense as it really depends on each specific draft. My advice is to wait on drafting IDPs later than in previous years. This is especially true if you are confident in drafting IDPs or are using my draft guide :). Scoop up value on the offensive side while all the other owners are going IDP.

grasshopper said...

Regarding the Atkins/Wolfe query: I feasted on IDPs for the first 5-6 rounds while everyone else went offense. I've steadily built up my offense with FAs over the past week. Here's my IDP line-up (return yds count for pts)

DB: L. Webb, P. Peterson, G. Wilson
LB: P. Willis, D. Jackson, C. McCarthy
DE: J. Allen, T. Cole
DT: G. Atkins

How cool is that. I'll probably drop one of my DTs before the season starts for a offensive flyer

BN: D. Butler, J. Babineaux, D. Wolfe

grasshopper said...

Btw, that's a 16 team league

Randy said...

Hey Ryan,

In my league, I only start 1DL, 1LB, and 1DB. To help w/ depth in other areas, I was hoping to only keep one backup IDP player (I have two at the moment but need to pick up a kicker). Currently, I have Trent Cole, Chris Long, Derrick Johnson, Karlos Dansby, and George Wilson. Originally, I was just going to drop Dansby (I made the mistake of picking up two LBs w/ the same bye week anyway), but DJ's ankle injury muddies things up. Who would you drop to make room for a kicker? Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Randy
DJs injury doesn't seem as bad as originally thought, but I would wait as long as possible before you cut someone to see how significant his injury really is. Assuming he won't miss significant time, I'd cut Dansby.

Randy said...

Thanks Ryan! And actually, since last night, I picked up Mario Williams (and dropped Chris Long), so I now definitely feel like I should hold on to both DLs (Cole and Williams). I do also have the option of dropping a backup TE (Greg Olson)...I have Gates as my starter.

Randy said...

P.S. Mario Williams only became available because someone dropped him. I have a feeling no one else in my league knows about your site. :)

Keith said...

Hi
I need to start 2/3 DL each week , 1.5 tackle/pas def , 0.75 assist , 5 pts per sack..

I have , Wake , C Johnson , Hardy and Klug... I can start 2 or 3 , so presuming that I'll start Wake most weeks which of the Carolina guys would you start alongside him..?

Is there ever a situation where you'd start 2 DL from the same team..? And what do you make of a certain Karl Klug ..? A great name..!!
Thanks

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Keith
I'd start Charles Johnson. I think if there were a good matchup (e.g. Bears, Jaguars, etc.). I don't really think Klug is worth rostering outside of super deep leagues. He does have a cool name and went to Iowa (I'm from Iowa) :).

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