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Written By: Eric Olinger
One of the best things about a Dynasty League, in my opinion, is that you seem to have a lot less dead beat owners who disappear once they’re eliminated from contention. Free agents are still picked up for stashing. Some savvy owners are making trades for the future and positions for draft picks. While teams aren’t going to have a fire sale, the smart ones are going to be willing to trade the “flash in the pan” players and the aging veterans giving their one last hurrah before fading away into the sunset. This year especially, the guys with the most talented players might not be the guys in the playoffs. Thanks to Andre Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Rashard Mendenahll, Jon Beason, Mario Williams, and so-on, there are bad luck teams that are going to miss the playoffs. While that list has some good buy-low candidates on it, they’re on the offensive side of the ball and we don’t do that here, so on to the good stuff…
One of the best things about a Dynasty League, in my opinion, is that you seem to have a lot less dead beat owners who disappear once they’re eliminated from contention. Free agents are still picked up for stashing. Some savvy owners are making trades for the future and positions for draft picks. While teams aren’t going to have a fire sale, the smart ones are going to be willing to trade the “flash in the pan” players and the aging veterans giving their one last hurrah before fading away into the sunset. This year especially, the guys with the most talented players might not be the guys in the playoffs. Thanks to Andre Johnson, Jamaal Charles, Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Rashard Mendenahll, Jon Beason, Mario Williams, and so-on, there are bad luck teams that are going to miss the playoffs. While that list has some good buy-low candidates on it, they’re on the offensive side of the ball and we don’t do that here, so on to the good stuff…
BUY
Patrick Chung- SS- Patriots
It amazes me how many people ask
if they should add Chung off their Waiver Wires. Chung is Belicheck’s new
Rodney Harrison in this D. He gets a ton of tackle opportunities in a sieve
like defense constantly being tested through the air. Plus, he’ll sprinkle in
the occasional sack and INT. Chung is a true playmaker in a defense struggling
to find it’s way. If he is out on your waiver wire, just add him and let’s move
on. He’s a centerpiece Belicheck will continue to build around.
Mathias Kiwanuka-
SLB- Giants
It seems
like every other year Kiwanuka is a SLB and then a DE. In leagues with
positional limits, that’s a real pain in the ass. But Kiwanuka is so talented
he produces wherever he is. From a fantasy standpoint, you want him at DE. If
your league allows you to play him at DE still, he gets an even bigger boost.
You’ll get DE sack numbers and LB tackle numbers. But even as a LB he’s put up
good numbers, in the last 3 weeks he’s put up at least 4 tackles and at least
one sack in each game. With all the injuries
currently happening, Kiwanuka deserves to be on a roster.
Marcel Dareus- DT-
Bills
Normally a
positional afterthought in IDP leagues, Dareus was moved from DE to NT in Buffalo’s 3-4 Defense and
it paid off huge. Dareus was down right NASTY Sunday against Washington, posting 2.5 sacks and a blocked
kick. Coming into the game Buffalo
had 4 sacks as a team all year. The switch, combined with John Beck’s
ineptitude, resulted in 9 (!!!) sacks in the game. Obviously, moving forward
Dareus will be the team’s starting NT and while expecting 2.5 sacks a game is
unrealistic, Dareus is most definitely worth a roster stash as a wait-and-see
prospect. His talent is undeniable, so this likely was not a flash in the pan
performance. Look for many more dominant games from the rookie moving forward.
Bruce Carter- ILB-
Cowboys
Carter was active for the first
time last week after being on the PUP list for tearing his ACL last November at
North Carolina.
But Dallas
still used a 2nd round pick on him, which should tell you how much
potential they see in him. Carter and Lee could be the Cowboys’ version of
Willis and Bowman. And now with Lee going down (dislocated wrist), Coach Garrett
already said Carter will continue to see more defensive snaps. He might not
make a big impact immediately, but Dynasty owners should definitely monitor
this guy. At worst he will rotate with the highly ineffective Keith Brooking
and Bradie James.
SELL
Ladarius Webb- CB-
Ravens
Webb was a solid IDP asset the
first 6 weeks of the season. He was a high tackle volume CB who was
relentlessly targeted. But now with more talented, higher draft pick guys
getting healthy, Webb is losing opportunities. The last 2 weeks have been
terrible and barring another injury to Carr or rookie Jimmy Smith, Webb will be
a headache and an unpredictable IDP play. Feel free to move on.
London Fletcher- MLB- Redskins
How much of his 20 tackle ½ sack
game was due to McIntosh leaving early and how much was it situation. Buffalo had the lead from
the coin flip and repeatedly ran Fred Jackson all over the Redskins “defense”.
This week San Francisco
comes to town with a game plan that won’t be much different. They will strap
their wagon to Frank “The Tank” Gore and let him run wild. Fletcher should have
another big game and if he does, go into “sell mode” and convince your league
mates that this guy is revitalized and move him at peak value.
Derrick Johnson- MLB-
Chiefs
I mentioned Johnson last week
and said “This week vs. San Diego
I’m sure he’ll return to the world of “3 solos and 4 assists”. Oops! I still
believe what I said and this is the exception and not the rule with Johnson.
He’s had too many stinkers to make me change my opinion of him over 2 games. If
you’re ever going to make a “Sell High” move, this, in my opinion, is the time
to do it. I do not trust him! I’m sure anyone owning a Steeler LB would love to
have him right now.
Brandon Spikes- MLB-
Patriots
Patriots
LB’s haven’t been very productive this year period, but Spikes exploded for 12
total tackles (10 solo) last week vs. Pittsburgh.
But he doesn’t offer much big play potential. He has zero sacks and zero
interceptions this year. I’m not saying he’s worthless, but anyone seeing these
numbers expecting LB1 production need to reel in expectations. He is strictly a
LB3 that blew up for a week. If anyone is willing to overpay for him thinking
they’ll get these numbers again, let him go. Especially if you have an owner in
a panic with Sean Lee, James Harrison, or LaMarr Woodley going down with
injury. Those owners are the people I would be dangling Spikes in front
of.
Good luck this week everyone. Thanks for reading! Comments, suggestions or questions are welcome below or by email at ericolinger@idpguru.com. You can also follow my active Twitter feed @Olinger3781.
Last Updated: November 2, 2011
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7 comments:
Hi Eric, In my Dynasty league I was offered Willis and Von Miller for Angerer and Greenway. Would you do the deal? I like the balance that Angerer and Greenway are giving me but Willis is the nuts of LBs.
Also, would you rather have Dareus over Michael Johnson who put up a fat goose egg last week?
Thanks!
As a Willis owner, I can tell you that his scoring has dropped off because of Bowman. I think you are better served keeping the two you have.
@Howard Is this a keeper/dynasty league? I think it's hard to pass up Willis for the next 10 years. I like Angerer a lot for this year but I think it's hard to gauge his value beyond this year. Indy is playing a ton more defense this year than at any point of the Peyton Manning era. If/when he returns his opportunities could take a hit. What is the difference in points per week between Miller and Greenway in your league? Long term Willis is better than Angerer and I think Miller will be close to Greenway. I would probably do it.
You're going to make a lot of people unhappy by continuing to recommend 'Selling high' on Derrick Johnson.
@WB I take my own advice. I swapped him for David Hawthorne. So remember this and we'll see how my opinion turns out at season's end.
My league counts solos and assists the same. Is London Fletcher a definite #1 with that scoring system?
@Evan I think so. In leagues that only count total tackles Fletcher would be a low end LB1/high end LB2 at worst. He's really playing well right now from a fantasy perspective. The offense with Beck is horrible and the defense is living on the field.
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