2010 IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 9

It's a tough year to be a Dallas Cowboys fan. It's so frustrating to watch a team with so much talent not capitalize upon it. The Cowboys losses can mainly be attributed to a lack of discipline and a failure amongst the catching staff to instill an atmosphere of respect and pride within the locker room. Wade "Turkey Neck" Phillips needs to be fired. Jason "the most predictable playcaller in the NFL" needs to be fired. And we need to draft an offensive lineman in the first round for once. Ugh... at least I have the Cubs to root for... wait, nevermind.

Here are a few IDP news tidbits from Week 8:

Pat Chung owners (e.g. me) were a bit disappointed to find out late Sunday afternoon that Chung was inactive and would not play against the Vikings. This came after a string of positive reports about his health status. This situation deserves close attention. I have a feeling Chung will suit up this week, however.

Nedu Ndukwe did not play in Week 8 as he was still trying to recover from a sore knee. Hopefully, he's back starting this week as he's usually money when he plays a near every-down role.

Courtney Greene, as predicted, had a very nice game against the Cowboys. He's on bye this week, but should continue to put up solid DB2/DB3 numbers the rest of the way.

Marvin Chuck Eric Berry had his best game of the year with 10 total tackles and an INT. I'm considering this performance a semi-fluke however as this game went into overtime and provided both teams with above average tackle opportunities. Berry is a great dynasty pick, but his value for this season is more in the high DB4/low DB3 range than the DB2 range.

The Lions front four absolutely destroyed the Redskins offensive line. Three of the four starters on the Lions defensive line (Suh, KVB, and Cliff Avril) had 2 sacks a piece. The Redskins continue to be a good matchup for opposing defensive lineman. This is a matchup I will continue to exploit.

Greg Toler completely disappeared from the box score against Tampa Bay. He was struggling with a back injury going into the game which limited his tackling ability. I see this is an aberration and not a trend. You are going to have inconsistencies like this with cornerbacks. If he bombs out again next week, then it's a situation worth taking a closer look at.

Desmond Bishop continued his fantasy dominance with 10 solo tackles. Brandon Chillar seemed to be substituting in for Bishop in passing situations, however. This is a situation to watch very closely. If Bishop continues to lose playing time, he may become a sell high candidate.

Gerald McRath had a career game against the Chargers in Week 7 and looks to be blossoming into a great dynasty fantasy player. He reminds me of Stephen Tulloch circa 2008-2009 (both 4th round selections and two-down linebackers). It's important to keep in mind that this was a great matchup for McRath and he's likely to have some down games against teams that use more spread looks. But he's definitely worth a roster spot in dynasty leagues and deeper redraft leagues as he figures to be a solid matchup play.

Brian Cushing flopped with a 2-3-0 stat line in his first game as a middle linebacker. He didn't play badly, it just seemed as though the Colts were passing and running towards the edges of the Texans defense which benefited Zac Diles (10-1-0). I wouldn't read too much into this game. I think Cushing and Diles will be very solid options moving forward.

Here are the waiver wire suggestions for Week 9:


DL

1. RDE Jared Allen (MIN) vs. ARI - Some may say Jared Allen isn't waiver wire material and has no place in this article. But, I'm willing to bet he's laying on more free agent lists than you may expect. We are heading into Week 9 and Allen owners have been getting impatient with his performance since Week 3. I've been preaching patience with him all season and I'm not ready to give up on him. He's got a fantastic matchup against the Cardinals this week and I think Allen comes out looking to make a statement. I wouldn't be surprised if had 2 or 3 sacks in this contest. I guess I wouldn't be surprised if he laid a goose egg either.


2. NT Kyle Williams (BUF) vs. CHI - Williams made an appearance in last week's waiver wire article and made me look smart when he registered 6 solo tackles, 3 assists, and 2 sacks. He plays the Bears this week. Enough said.

3. RDE/ROLB Tamba Hali (KC) @ OAK - I drafted Hali in the last round of an ESPN league this year and I'm glad I did. He's decent as a fantasy linebacker, but in leagues that allow him to be positioned as a DE (e.g. ESPN), he's quite valuable (i.e. top 10). He's good a juicy matchup against the Raiders this week. I'll be starting him in that ESPN league over Julius Peppers.


***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

RDE Will Smith (NO) @ CAR - For once, I will leave the Fresh Prince references out of this player tag. Smith hasn't been worth a dang this year up until last week against Big Ben and the mighty Steelers. He had 1.5 sacks in that game and seemed to have gained some much needed confidence. Smith's confidence should get even more of a boost as the Saints visit Carolina and their crappy offensive line this week.

Will Smith



LB

1. MLB DeAndre Levy (DET) vs. NYJ - Levy's 4 solo performance in Week 8 may be viewed by some as a disappointment. However, it's important to keep in mind that this was Levy's first game back from an injury that had kept him out for the majority of the season. In addition, the Lions had below average tackle opportunity in this game as the Redskins only rushed the ball a combined 15 times with their running backs. In actuality, Levy was the Lions leading tackler (if you don't count tackles awarded via sack). He has an above average matchup this week against the Jets who are averaging close to 32 rush attempts per game. Levy is in a prime situation as the Lions defense usually garners a lot of tackle opportunity and when you combine this with the fact that there is little to no competition for tackles amongst the linebacking crew and that he has two good interior defensive lineman to protect him from blockers, you have a LB1 in the making. Picking up a guy like Levy at this time in the season is the type of move that can win you your fantasy football championship.

2. WLB Zac Diles (HOU) @ SD - I've been pumping up Diles in my articles and in the forums the last couple of weeks and he didn't disappoint owners last night as he put up an impressive 10 solo tackles and an assist outtackling Brian Cushing by a wide margin. I wouldn't expect these huge numbers every week from Diles as the Texans were playing with only two linebackers for the majority of the game as a defense to the Colts use of three and four wide receiver sets. Diles is an every-down player and should have nice LB2 value for the rest of the season. Additionally, his matchup this week is quite favorable against the Chargers offense.

3. MLB Dhani Jones (CIN) vs. PIT - What's that old saying? Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. Dhani Jones slightly burned me last week as he only put up 5 tackles in a very favorable matchup against the Dolphins. He gets a chance here to redeem himself against the bruising offense of Pittsburgh. I think the Steelers are going to dominate this game and Jones should have a ton of tackle opportunities.


4. WLB Justin Durant (JAX) vs. BYE - I typically don't recommend players that are on bye in my weekly waiver wire articles, but it's getting to that point in the season where pickings are getting slim and player of Durant's potential should be noted even though he doesn't play this week. I recommended Durant last week and he ended up with 12 total tackles against the Cowboys. He looked pretty impressive during that game as he was making tackles all over the field. Being a three-down linebacker on a poor offensive team, Durant should have a nice amount of tackle opportunities moving forward and it would be reasonable to expect low LB2 numbers for the rest of the season.


***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

WLB Geno Hayes/MLB Barrett Ruud (TB) @ ATL - Hayes hasn't lived up to the expectations set for him at the beginning of the year. He hasn't registered 5 solo tackles or more since Week 2 of the season and has been almost completely void of big plays. Fellow linebacker Barrett Ruud finds himself in the same situation. I attribute the lack of production by these two linebackers to a couple of factors. First, Tampa Bay is much improved on offense this season and the defense is seeing less tackle opportunities as a result. Secondly, the Buccaneers defensive line is struggling to control the line of scrimmage and offensive linemen are getting to the 2nd level and laying blocks on the linebackers making it hard for them to make plays. I'm not sure if this fantasy situation is going to improve as the season moves along, but what I do know is that Atlanta is slated on the schedule next for Tampa and that they have been a fantasy cure-all for struggling linebackers this season as they are currently giving up the most points to fantasy linebackers on a week-to-week basis. Hayes and definitely Barrett Ruud are good starts this week.

Geno Hayes and Barrett Ruud



DB

1. LCB Morgan Trent (CIN) vs. PIT - Trent Morgan Morgan Trent came out of nowhere last week to register 9 solo tackles, 2 assists, and an interception against the Dolphins. Trent is a good play not because he's talented. Rather he's a good play because he's young and inexperienced and teams will continue to throw at him especially with Pro-Bowler Leon Hall shutting down the other side of the field. As long as Jonathan Joseph is still out this week, Big Ben will be looking for Trent continuously throughout the game which should result in a plethora of tackle and INT opportunities.

2. FS Eric Weddle (SD) @ HOU - Weddle has had 28 total tackles in his last three games and although I expect him to remain highly inconsistent from week to week, his matchup against the Texans this week is going to be one of his best chances for another high tackle week. If you need some big points and can assume a little risk, start Weddle in Week 9.


3. LCB Aqib Talib (TB) @ ATL - I have got two words for you: Roddy White. Talib is going to find himself covering White for most of the game and should produce quite a few tackles in the box score and I wouldn't be surprised to see him come up with an interception either (he already has 5 this year). Playing in the Tampa-2 defensive scheme, Talib is an above average tackler for his position and should capitalize on most of the tackle opportunities he receives this week. He's a solid CB1 start this week.

***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

LCB Richard Marshall (CAR) vs. NO - Marshall got off to an atrocious start to the season by only posting 7 total tackles in his first 3 games. However, in the four games since then he has averaged over 7 total tackles per game with an interception and a sack and is starting to look more like the CB1 player we thought he was going to be before the start of the season. The last time he played the Saints, he had 9 solo tackles, 1 assist, and 1 forced fumble. I would expect more of the same this week from Marshall.

Richard Marshall

Thanks a bunch for reading and feel free to ask me any specific questions. I want to help you dominate your fantasy leagues!

Until next time, this is The IDP Guru signing off.


Last Updated: November 2 , 2010



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57 comments :

Anonymous said...

Guru,
I was looking around on the WW and found Andra Davis available. He's the MLB for BUF but I didn't see him on the "Every Down" list. Can you rank him by giving a few names of players with a similar rank or standing? Would he be a good backup LB?
Thank you
Michael

tackle junkie said...

Im in a tackle heavy league and have marshall, trent, talib an levy available. Im thinking levy and marshall are the guys I should pick up. And would you start any of these guys over tyvon branch this week?

Thanks for any advice.

Anonymous said...

who would u start this wk tackle heavy league
David Harris
Kerry Rhodes
Erik Coleman
Eric Weddle

Lance said...

We start 3 LBs and I currently have Patrick Willis, D.J. Williams, and Rocky McIntosh on bye, Desmond Bishop and Jon Beason slated to start. So I need to pick one up, and was considering dropping Beason for another:
Levy and Hayes are available; I was going to pick up Session before your article came out...David Harris and Scott Fujita are avail as well. What do I do? Thanks a lot for your time now and every week.

G said...

Thanks for the advice... How do you feel about poz vs Chicago and Timmons vs cincy this week? Any reason to consider sitting either of these guys that I don't know about?

Anonymous said...

Would you drop beason for durant?

Colts Fan said...

I can start 4 LB's and I have Urlacher, Bishop, Diles, Harris, Lofton and Dansby. Would you drop any of these guys for Levy, Durant, Beason, or D Jones? Which 4 would you start and are any worth dropping for bye week fill ins? I could start a kicker and a DL

scoring system
Solo - 1
Sack - 3
INT - 6
FF - 2
FR - 3
TD - 12
Safety - 6
PD - 3
Blk kick - 4

MattValentine said...

Do you expect Jon Beason to remain at WLB beyond this year? Thanks.

ReadyMan said...

Ryan, great posts again this week!
I'm in a dilemma, I'm playing the team I'm tied with for division lead (that and I really wanna beat this guy!).
I had/have Chung AND Toler. I barely squeeked out a win last week (thanks to Poz!) with both of them tanking (I never saw anything about Chung not playing or Toler...before or after their games. Is there a particular place I can go for these reports? I regularly check Rotoworld, but they had nothing on either player.)

Do you think I should drop Toler for Talib?
I also am thinking about dropping Brandon Flowers for Tolib (trent is also available)...or should I stand with Toler and Flowers?

Also, drop Calais Campbell for Will Smith? (Styles White is also available.)

1 pt per tackle, .05 for shared tackle, 3 points for a sack, 1 pt. for a stuff, 3 for FF, and 4 for Interception).

Thanks!
ReadyMan

NDSteve said...

In a CB required league, who do you like better between Joe Haden and Devin McCourty (redraft and dynasty)? Thanks Guru.

Ryan said...

S. White or Shaughnessy this week at DE?

mk said...

Thanks for the advice last week. I went w/ you suggestion of D. Harris over Woodley and Durant and he was the highest scoring of the 3. I have 2 questions for you this week (scoring = 1 pt/tackle and ~4 pts per big play):

(1) Who is the better DL for the rest of the season, Ngata or Kyle Williams? I like Williams better this week b/c of the match-up w/ the Bears, but whomever I pick up will likely be my DL for the rest of the season barring injury, so I am looking for longer-term advice.

(2) Who will make for the best long-term back-up LB (none will start for me unless one of my top LBs gets injured), Durant, Diles, Angerer, or should I just keep D. Harris as my back-up LB?
Thanks again for the advice.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Andra Davis is NOT a three-down linebacker as he doesn't play in the teams nickel packages. Davis is quite comparable to Dan Connor, Daryl Washington, Kirk Morrison, and so on.

He's a good matchup play against run-heavy teams.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@tackle junkie
I'd start Branch. He's a stud and you should start your studs pretty much every week. Marshall and Levy are the top two pickups for me of that group.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
David Harris. More times than not, it's better to start a LB than a DB.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Lance
I'd keep Bishop and Beason and pickup Levy.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@G
Both are every week starters. Start them with confidence.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Although, I'm losing faith in Beason, I can't recommend dropping him for Durant just yet.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Colts Fan
I would consider dropping Urlacher for Levy or Beason since he's been underperforming. However, Urlacher's schedule the rest of the year is quite favorable. I would stick with that you have for now.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@MattValentine
I would be very shocked. When Thomas Davis returns, Beason will move back to the middle and Dan Connor will move to the bench.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@ReadyMan
Go to the Footballguys.com IDP Forums. They have a thread before game time that lists all of the active/inactive players for the games.

It's a bit risky, but going off trends and matchups, Talib may be the better play this week than Toler or Flowers. Toler is the better long-term option, however so I would dump Flowers if anyone.

Campbell's matchup is mediocre on paper but the Vikings have been allowing a lot of pressure on their QBs and with Favre hobbled, Campbell's chances for a sack increase. Smith has a good chance for a sack as well. I would make the move to pickup Will Smith for this week.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@NDSteve
I like McCourty slightly better this season and Haden slightly better in the long-term.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Ryan
Stylez White has the better matchup. Shaughnessy has the Chiefs who have actually protected Cassel quite well. Plus, they don't throw very often since they have two great running backs.

Go with Stylez this week.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@mk
That's a tough call. I have to give the edge to Ngata because of his ability to get to the quarterback.

I would just stick with David Harris. Diles is the closest though.

Anonymous said...

Is it safe to drop Rey Maualuga for Talib or R.Marshall in a dynasty league?

I have

Ray Lewis
Derrick Johnson
Desmond Bishop
Paris Lenon
Shaun Philips
Donald Butler(IR)

My DB's are as follows
Toler
Whitner
Winfield
Reed

Any droppable for Talib or Marshall?

Thanks

Watermelondrea said...

Who should I start? Chad Greenway or Jerod Mayo

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Watermelondrea
Start Mayo. He's the better IDP and has a better matchup.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I wouldn't expect much out of Maualuga this season, but he has low LB1 potential heading into next season as he is the heir apparent to Dhani Jones in the middle of the Bengals defense.

Paris Lenon doesn't have much dynasty value, but should remain a viable linebacker option this season.

If DB isn't a huge concern, I would stay pat with your current roster.

Anonymous said...

who to start D.Levy or Bradley and Wake. At DL S. white or Avril and at S Y.Bell or Witner and at CB Winfield or M.Trent need one of each.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I'd start Levy, Stylez White, Bell (if he plays), and Winfield.

The Pack said...

Hey Guru. Thanks in advance. I have L. Landry on bye and Chung a big fat ?. I need one and maybe two fill-in DBs this week. Slim pickins out there now. Weddle, Winfield, and D. Manning are all options. I kind of like Manning's kick return yardage as a bonus. Thoughts?

NDSteve said...

Who do you like best out of Joseph, Cook, Rodgers-Cromartie, and V. Davis. I am in a CB required league and need to grab one. Scoring is 2 pts per solo tackle, one pt per 2 assists, 1 pt for every pass defended, and 3 pts per interception. We also get 1 pt for every 30 yds of pr and kr yardage.

Anonymous said...

I need to pick up a LB this week (only need him this week) -- Scott Fujita or Geno Hayes? Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@The Pack
I like them in this order:

1) Weddle - I think he could have a huge game against the Texans. He's been quite inconsistent though and therefore is a risk.

2) Manning - Has a chance for a pick against the Bills and the return yardage is a bonus.

3) Winfield - I would normally recommend Winfield over Manning but I don't like the matchup against the Cardinals.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@NDSteve
None are great options this week. If I had to pick one of those listed I would choose DRC.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Geno Hayes for sure. He's got a great matchup.

Matty said...

Guru, are either D. Landry or Ed Reed worth a start this week?

JDFreer16 said...

Hey Guru, thanks for the info as always. I need some advice this week in regards to my whole defensive situation I start 1 DB - 1 LB - 1 D. My options this week at LB are, Levy - NYJ, Dansby - @Bal, and Bishop - Dal. My options at DB are, Whitner - Chi, Chung - @Cle, this is a tackle heavy league.

As always thanks for the insights.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Matty
I think Dawan Landry is definitely worth a start this week. He's a very undervalued fantasy player in tackle-heavy leagues in my opinion.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@JDFreer16
I'd go with Dansby and Bishop. I want to recommend Levy, but Bishop has been too hot as of late. Then Whitner for DB. I don't think Chung gets enough snaps to produce at Whitner's level (even with a bad matchup) this week.

Anonymous said...

start witner or j.leonard (get points for returns)

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Depends on the scoring system. What is the scoring system?

marflan said...

Two weeks in a row - thanks to you, I'm making a comeback! We play one DL/DE/DT and two any Def. I've got Clemons, Posluszny and Dhani Jones. At DE, I could trade Clemons for J. Allen, Will Smith or Stylez White. For the other def, I could trade Jones for Bishop, Harris, Hayes or Landry. What's my best lineup?

marflan said...

AT DE, Peppers is also available and at def. TJ Ward, Diles, lenon and Richard Marshall are also available.

Scoring:
Solo - 2
Assist - 1
Sack - 3
INT - 3
FF - 3
FR - 3
TD - 6
Safety - 3
PD - 1
Blk kick - 3
Stuff - 1

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@marflan
I think your best starting lineup for this week is as follows:

DE: Jared Allen
LB: Posluszny
LB: Dhani Jones

NDSteve said...

Who do you like at safety between Weddle, Francisco, and W. Moore? Scoring is 2 pts per solo tackle, one pt per 2 assists, 1 pt for every pass defended, and 3 pts per interception. Thanks Guru!

Anonymous said...

start witner or j.leonard (get points for returns) it is tkl. heavy but get points for big plays

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@NDSteve
I actually like Weddle this week against the Texans. He could end up burning owners, but he's been better the last couple of weeks and has a great matchup.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I'd start Whitner even though he has a bad matchup. As I like to say, "never bench your studs."

marflan said...

Sorry one last possibility: Would you trade Jones for suh?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@marflan
No, I wouldn't.

Anonymous said...

Just wanted to say thanks. R. Marshall and D. Levy were fantastic bye week fill ins for me. Your diligent match up research does not go unnoticed. - James in WI

Anonymous said...

Ryan...What do you make of Aaron Francisco for the rest of the year? Not sure about his Dynasty prospects, but he's put together three straight good statistical weeks.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I see Francisco putting up similar numbers to Melvin Bullitt circa 2008 (i.e. 4-6 solos a game with a couple of assists). He's a decent flex play moving forward against good matchups.

First Timer said...

Who do I drop Paris Lenon for to ride out the season with (baring injury. )Derrick Johnson, Stephen Tulloch, Chad Greenway, Curtis Lofton, Ray Lewis and London Fletcher are top scoring available's. Also who would be the better every week starter LaRon Landry or Greg Toler if I had to drop one? Thanks for the help.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@First Timer
I'd go with Tulloch and Landry.

First Timer said...

thanks for the quick response.

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