2010 IDP Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 11

Well, I got the job in Chicago and will moving there after Thanksgiving. It's a big step and I'm quite nervous about it since I still have to find housing and get a lot of stuff done within the next couple of weeks. However, I'm looking forward to exploring all that a big city like Chicago has to offer and am excited to turn the page and enter into this new chapter of my life.

Unfortunately, I may not have as much time to dedicate to the site as I have previously since I will likely be working longer hours than I was in my old job. I will still continue to write my weekly waiver wire article. It's just that I may not get to all of your specific questions via comments, email, forums, Twitter, etc. as quickly as I normally do. Thanks for understanding.

Now on to the IDP stuff!

Here are a few IDP news tidbits from Week 10:

Brian Cushing's move to the outside (on most defensive snaps) seemed to directly benefit his box score performance as he posted 9 solo tackles in a losing effort in Jacksonville. This is good news for Cushing owners. I would expect him to be a solid LB2 the rest of the season.

Greg Toler had a yet another solid tackling performance last week as he put up 8 solo tackles against the Seahawks. However, he played so poorly that he was benched in favor of Mike Adams. It is unknown whether this move is permanent or not. This would be a big blow to Toler owners if he was demoted to nickel cornerback.

Glover Quin had a ridiculous 13 solo tackles in Week 10. This is an aberration. Garrard was just taking the 7 or 8 yard out patterns Quin was consistently allowing.

Pat Chung returned to action Sunday night after missing the previous two weeks with a knee injury. He looked fantastic. He was flying around pursuing the ballcarrier and he blitzed the quarterback on numerous occasions. He reminds me a lot of Rodney Harrison in his hay day. He did leave the field a few times with an apparent injury, but he later revealed that he was just bothered with cramps. He looks to once again be a solid DB1 option moving forward.

D.J. Williams was benched for the early portion of Sunday's blowout game verse the Chiefs and consequently only had two total tackles. His replacement, Joe Mays, had 7 solo stops and looks to be a very viable waiver wire pickup if Williams does indeed miss any time.

"Stylez" White completely disappeared in Week 10 against Carolina. No tackles, no sacks, no pass deflections, nothing. Seriously, if you're going to legally change your name to "Stylez," should be at least be able to get a sack or three against the Panthers.

Chris Clemons continues to be a godsend for IDP owners who picked him up after the first few weeks of the season. He had two sacks against AZ giving him 7.5 on the season. He's quickly entering into low DL1 territory. He gets the job done when he's suppose to get the job done (i.e. against bad offensive lines).


Here are the waiver wire suggestions for Week 11:


DL



1. RDE Chris Long (STL) vs. ATL - Ever since I ripped on Long in Week 4, he's had a 1/2 sack or more in 5 of his last 6 games. Long has been close to busting out since entering the league in 2008. He was pressuring the quarterback on a consistent basis, but just wasn't finishing. As the defense around him starts to improve, Long is only going to get better. His matchup this week isn't great, but it's time to jump on the Long bandwagon in both redraft and dynasty leagues.


2. RDE Haloti Ngata (BAL) @ CAR - Ngata (whom I recommended last week) did "natta" in the box scores. Chances are good that he does something significant against the helpless Panthers this week as he looks to redeem himself.

3. DTs Richard Seymour/Tommy Kelly (OAK) @ PIT - Both Seymour and Kelly have been playing great as of late and are likely available on most waiver wires. Kelly has had a sack in five consecutive games and Seymour is fresh off an 8 tackle performance in Week 9. They are both good options in DT-required leagues this week against Pittsburgh.
***DT-REQUIRED SPECIAL***


***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

RDE Jared Allen (MIN) vs. GB - To all those Jared Allen naysayers out there, I say "nanny nanny, boo boo." After a piss-poor first seven weeks of the season, Allen has really turned it on as of late registering 9 tackles (2.5 TFLs) and 3.5 sacks. If he's available in your league, he's a must grab. Not only does he have has confidence back, but he also has one of the easiest remaining schedules for fantasy defensive linemen (GB, WAS, BUF, NYG, CHI, PHI, DET).

Jared Allen



LB

1. SILB Paris Lenon (ARI) @ KC - Lenon continues to be productive in the tackle column even with the return of Gerald Hayes. I would expect that solid production to continue this week against the Chiefs and their run-heavy offensive attack. Lenon is a comfortable start as an LB3 this week.

2. ROLB Cameron Wake (MIA) vs. CHI - For people that follow the defensive side of the ball closely, Wake's emergence this year comes as no surprise. If you extrapolate out his 2009 QB pressures, hits, sacks, etc. to a full-time player's amount of snaps, he was the most effective pass rusher in the NFL. Now as a three-down linebacker this season, Wake has capitalized on his increased amount of opportunities with 8.5 sacks this season. He faces the Bears this week and even though they've been protecting Cutler better as of late, they are still quite bad at pass protecting and Wake should be a great play in big-play scoring systems and as a LB3 in tackle-heavy scoring systems.
***BIG-PLAY SPECIAL***

NOTE: Wake did injure his hip in Week 10 and his status is uncertain for this week's game. So be sure and check his injury status throughout the week before you insert him into your lineup.

3. WLB Nic Harris (CAR) vs. BAL - The converted safety got the starting nod over Jordan Senn last week and ended up leading the team in total tackles with 11. He has a very nice matchup against Baltimore this week and should have another solid game. His value (much like Dan Connor's was) is going to be determined largely by matchup and whether or not the offense uses a lot of spread formations since Harris is only a two-down linebacker.


4. ROLB Tamba Hali (KC) vs. ARI - I could basically copy and paste much of what I said previously about Cameron Wake and it would apply to Hali. He was a very underrated pass-rusher last season and it's not much of a surprise that he's finally breaking out this year. He's got a great matchup against the Cardinals and has a high probability of registering a sack or three. He's only had two games all season in which he hasn't sacked the QB and he's followed up both of those sackless games with a sack in the following week. Guess what? Hali didn't have a sack last week. I'm smelling a big game out of Hali this week. He's a must start in big-play IDP leagues this week.
***BIG-PLAY SPECIAL***


***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

MLB Stewart Bradley (PHI) vs. NYG - I'm still harboring a grudge against Bradley for burning me a few weeks back when he was my linebacker "Lock of the Week." His play has improved as of late, however, and he has a superb matchup against the Giants. Opposing linebackers have been racking up tackles against the G-Men left and right (Bradie James and Keith Brooking combined for 23 total tackles last week against them). This is the week to get Bradley into your lineups.

Stewart Bradley



DB

1. RCB Dimitri Patterson (PHI) vs. NYG - I was hyping up Patterson as a potential waiver wire gem on my Monday night radio show and as it turns out he had a breakout game with 4 solo tackles and 2 interceptions (1 for a touchdown). Patterson is in a great position to put up a good amount of fantasy points the rest of the season or for at least the next few weeks; he's a young, inexperienced corner opposite a Pro Bowl caliber cornerback in Asante Samuel. Therefore, teams are going to continue to test him and he will get plenty of tackle and interception opportunities (a la Greg Toler). He's got the juggernaut Giants offense this week and should continue to produce at a above average level.

2. FS Brian Dawkins (DEN) @ SD - Dawkins is one of those old crafty veterans that seems to produce a decent amount of fantasy points for owners year in and year out. He missed Weeks 6 and 7 and had a week 9 bye week so he's been dropped and forgotten about in a lot of leagues. "BDawk" is usually good for 4-6 solos and a decent chance for a big play every week. He has the pass happy Chargers coming to town which should be good news for Dawkins and his tackle production. This is probably going to be one of his better games of the year.


3. RCB Brent Grimes (ATL) @ STL - Grimes is quickly developing into one of my favorite IDPs. He's a small, scrappy undrafted free agent out of Shippensburg who always seems to put up solid tackle numbers when given a chance to start in Atlanta. He's averaging 6.6 solo tackles per game and has 2 interceptions over his last 6 games. He's been fairly matchup independent during that stretch and therefore remains a good play this week against the Rams.

***THE GURU'S LOCK OF THE WEEK***

SS Jim Leonhard (NYJ) vs. HOU - "Lion Heart" has put up solid numbers in the tackle column so far this season. He hasn't had less than 4 solo tackles since Week 2 of the regular season and has perhaps his best matchup of the year this week against the Houston Texans. Plus, he returns punts for those owners in leagues that reward for return yards. He should have 6-8 solos this week and be a solid DB2 option.

Jim Leonhard

Thanks a bunch for reading and feel free to ask me any specific questions. I want to help you dominate your fantasy leagues!

Until next time, this is The IDP Guru signing off.


Last Updated: November 16 , 2010



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41 comments :

Add/Drop said...

Congratulations on the new job!

In a league that starts 2 LB, 2 CB, 1 safety and 1 defensive flex I'm in a bind.

I've got
LBs: Beason, Timmons, R. Lewis, Desmond Bishop
CBs: Toler and Winfield
S: Whitner

T. Branch, Chung and R. Marshall are on waivers. Who do you think I should pick up? If you had to drop 1 person who would you drop?

tackles/p defensed=1. sacks/ints=3, tackles assisted=1/2

mike said...

Ryan, great news on the new job! Although hate to lose your IDP expertise. My question this week is I have Daniel Manning at DB spot. Our league allows return yardage, but noticed last week Hester was returning kicks, not Manning. Do you know if this is long term? Part 2 of the question, if I drop Manning would you recommend picking up Nic Harris listed as Safety in our league, Leonhard w/ punt return potential, or Chung who is available, in standard scoring system? Thanks.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Add/Drop
I would wait to hear on if Toler's move to the bench is a permanent one or not before making a move on him.

If you decide to drop someone, it's likely going to be Toler for Marshall.

I like Brunch and Chung a lot. But Whitner is so solid in the tackle department. I would stick with Whitner.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@mike
I'm not sure if the Manning move was a permanent one or not.

I think that Harris and Chung will probably be pretty equal. Chung will likely be more consistent throughout the year, but Harris will be a better play some weeks depending on the matchup (like this week for example).

Leonhard is a solid play this week.

I would probably go after Harris just because he's a linebacker listed as a safety and he's got a really good schedule down the stretch.

Bryan said...

Dimitri Patterson is going to be a stud. Not only did he play well last night - he locked down Reggie Wayne - and he was targeted a lot by Peyton Manning

Jonathan (Hickory, NC) said...

Way to go on the new job, Ryan! And thanks for all the advice in the past. I'm going to pick up Leonhard and drop C. Greene from last week (who did admirably in his one-week rental: 7 pts). I plan to start Whitner and Chung though. Leonhard is my fall-back if Chung ends up being more banged-up than originally thought. Also, kudos on the Willis recommendation over Greenway because of matchups (15.5 pts versus 9 pts last week).

Anonymous said...

Drop Richard Marshall for Chalres Woodson for rest of season?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I would rather have Richard Marshall ROS than Charles Woodson.

Tom said...

Congrats on the new job, Chicago will be a lot of fun.

INT/Sack=3, tackles or pass defensed=1, assist=1/2

Start 3 from the following:
R. Lewis, Beason, Timmons, D. Bishop, Chung

Thanks!

Asher said...

With a flex position would you give Nic Harris a start over Aaron Francisco?

Also what are your thoughts on Pat Angerer ROS?

ReadyMan said...

Hi Ryan!
Glad to hear you got that job! Working MORE isnt always good tho...hope it works great for you.

I need a DE for the rest of the season (trading Justin Smith for Blount).
Who do you recommend of these available DE:
(1 pt tackle, .5 for 1/2 tackle, 3 points for a sack, 1 pt. for pass defensed, 1 pt. for stuff)
Charles Johnson CAR
Bryan Thomas NYJ
Juqua Parker PHI
Parys Haralsono SF
Kelsay Buf
Avril Det
Will Smith NO
Ray Edwards MIN

I'm leaning toward Parker or Johnson. What do you think?

Anonymous said...

@Add/Drop
Is tuck a must start? He's been killing me lately.

thanks

Anonymous said...

Even if Toler starts isn't there a strong risk that a big play early on sends him to the bench for the rest of the game making him useless that makes playing him at all a huge gamble?

Also in a T/Ta= 1/.5 Int= 5 Sack=4 PD= 3 league would you prefer Beason or Bishop as a contingency if DJ Williams misses more games. Other LB spot is Posluszny, who obviously is an injury risk himself.

Rykeile said...

Hey there! Congrats on the job.

My question.. would you go with Brian Dawkins, Oshiomogho Atogwe, or Dawan Landry at a safety spot in a league where solo tackles are 1.5, assists are 0.75, sacks are 3, and Interceptions are 5? My other safety is Pollard, so he's pretty much a lock there.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Tom
Lewis
Timmons
Bishop

It looks like Beason isn't going to play this week otherwise I would recommend him over Lewis.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Asher
Yes, I would start Harris over Francisco.

Much of Angerer's value depends on the how long Brackett and Session are out. If both are out Angerer is a solid LB2. If only Session is out, he's more of a LB3.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@ReadyMan
I like Ray Edwards schedule ROS. Kelsay is probably going to be the most consistent in the tackle column. I would go with Ray Ewards though.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Yah, he remains a must start.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Toler is a risk and if there are decent options available besides him, you may want to go that route. But it's not like they have Darrelle Revis waiting in the wings to take his spot.

I like Beason slightly more than Bishop. However, either LB should be a viable replacement.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Rykeile
I'd probably go with Brian Dawkins since it's tackle heavy.

Anonymous said...

start wake or bradley and bishop. need one.

Thoracic Outlet said...

congratulations on the job, i just wanted some roster advice, big play league (tackle 1,assist 0.5, sack 4, int 5, pass defended 1, ff 3 TD 6) starting DE,DE,DT,LB,LB,LB,CB,CB,S,S,D
DL: COle, Allen, DOckett
LB: Beason, B James, Diles, Bishop, Hali
CB: Mccourty, tramon williams
S: Godfrey, Francisco

-AJ Hawk became available, should I pick him up as i think he has more big play potential than diles?
-should i replace mccourty with alphonso smith?
-godfrey hasnt produced any big plays since early in the season, should i drop him for C Greene or Dahl?

thanks a lot

mike said...

Hey Ryan, in standard scoring for just this week who's your top 5 of these LB's? They are Lenon, Dhani Jones, EJ Henderson, Diles, Laurinaitis, Hawk, David Harris, Farrior, and Bradley. Sorry so many, but I'm sure some will get picked up off waivers in the morning. Thanks again!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I'd start Bishop. He's been very solid and has a good matchup in the Vikings.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Thoracic Outlet
No, I would stick with Diles.

I'm assuming your talking about Devin McCourty and not Jason. If so, I would stick with McCourty.

I would drop Godfrey for Greene.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@mike
1. Laurinaitis
2. Diles
3. Bradley
4. Harris
5. Henderson

Thoracic Outlet said...

@Ryan Sitzmann
thanks for the advice & look out for jay cutler in chi-town, my friend moved there for work last year (from Australia) and he said he would always see cutler living it up in clubs and bars.

Anonymous said...

Ryan, who's matchup do you like better this week for Diles or Bishop?

Ryan said...

Hey Ryan, if you have a chance, I need to set my lineup for the rest of the season. I can only start 6 IDP players:
2 DL
2 DB
2 Flex Defensive players

I currently have Tulloch, Chung, Pollard, Bell, Woodson, Tuck, and Justin Smith. Tuck and Smith are locked because they are my only 2 DL's. That leaves me with deciding between the other 5, of which I can only start 4. I also see Desmond Bishop in the FA list and would really like to pick him up, but I would absolutely have to drop someone in order to do so. Do you have a recommendation for the ROS? Thanks!

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Thoracic Outlet
Yah, I have a few friends that live in Chicago and they have mentioned that they have seen him out quite a bit. I'll probably be out drinking all the time too if I got sacked as much as he did.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I like Bishop over Diles this week.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Ryan
I would start Tulloch, Chung, Pollard, and Bell. I would dump Woodson and pickup Bishop. This is both my recommendation for this week and ROS.

Ryan said...

Thanks man! BTW - Congrats on your job!

Ryan said...

BTW - is there any way to tell which remaining week you would start Bishop, or would you just keep him on the bench in case of injury.

JDFreer16 said...

First off congrats on the new job, now down to business. I start 1 DB - 1 LB - 1 DB/LB. At safety I've got Landry - @Ten who is a must start right? But I also have Whitner - @Cin, and Chung - Ind. At LB I have Tulloch - Was, Dansby - Chi, Bishop - @Min, and Levy - @Dal. What do you think? Thanks as always.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Ryan
I would start Bishop as a mid-level LB2 most weeks depending on matchup.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@JDFreer16
Yes, Landry is a must start. I'd also start Tulloch and Bishop.

The Pack said...

Hey Guru. Timmons or Bishop this week. I'd almost always say Timmons, but Bishop has a great matchup. Thanks for the help.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@The Pack
Even though Bishop's matchup is a bit better and he's healthier, you still have to start Timmons.

Timmons practiced in full yesterday and the Raiders have been a pretty solid matchup for opposing linebackers as of late. Plus, he has a decent chance for a sack.

marflan said...

Congrats on the new job - in this economy, there's not too much of that going on, so way to go! Good for you, and not so good for us, but we'll deal with it. :-) I lost last week, but it certainly wasn't because of my IDPs (only lost by 3 points and that's 'cause I sat Kitna and played Shaun Hill)

So here we go again, I've got Allen at DE, Posluszny and David Harris in the "any def" player. I'm thinking I keep Allen and Poz but drop Harris to pick up: Dawkins, Bradley, Tyvon Branch, TJ Ward, Pat Chung, Desmond Bishop, cushing or lenon. What do you think?

Scoring:
Solo - 2
Assist - 1
Sack - 3
INT - 3
FF - 3
FR - 3
TD - 6
Safety - 3
PD - 1
Blk kick - 3
Stuff - 1

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@marflan
I would drop Harris for Cushing. He's moved to the outside which seems to have helped his fantasy value immediately. He's got a good matchup against the Jets.

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***NOTE: Please use a different display name than "Anonymous" when asking advice questions. It gets difficult to discern who I am answering when multiple people post under the same name.

Also, when asking for weekly matchup advice please mention the weekly opponent for each player you are listing. This helps me answer questions more quickly.
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