2010 IDP Stockwatch: Week 8

I thought I would introduce a new in-season article this year in which I discuss a few players who's fantasy value has either gone up or down depending on their performance, role changes, injury concerns, etc. from the previous week. I will try to get this article out every Thursday for your reading pleasure.


Stock Up


Dwan Edwards Down Arrow RDE Dwan Edwards (BUF) - Edwards is quietly having a solid season for IDP owners. He's on pace for 58 solo tackles this season which is quite impressive for a defensive lineman of any sort let alone primarily a 3-4 defensive end. He's not going to single handedly win you weeks, but he's a safe and reliable play at a position that is highly inconsistent and he's likely available on most waiver wires.


Rocky McIntosh Down Arrow WILB Rocky McIntosh (WAS) - There was some concern about McIntosh's fantasy value after Washington's Week 5 game against the Packers in which the Redskins employed the use of a substantial amount of dime packages that McIntosh was not a participant in. However, the Redskins were back to using normal base and nickel packages last week and McIntosh had a solid game with 6 solo tackles, 2 assists, and a sack. He's only had one down week so far this season and has the benefit of playing four of his last nine games at home with a very generous scorekeeper.


Justin Durant Down Arrow WLB Justin Durant (JAX) - I've always had a soft spot for Durant and therefore may possess a bit of bias when I put him in the upgrade column. That bias aside, there are some good reasons to put him here. He plays on a team who's defense is on the field a ton and Durant's position of weak side linebacker affords him a good amount of tackle opportunity. And now that Durant is fully healthy, he is back in nickel packages, once again making him a three-down linebacker. He had 8 tackles last week against the Chiefs and I think his best days are ahead of him.


Michael Lewis Down Arrow SS Michael Lewis (STL) - Most IDP owners are familiar with Michael Lewis as he was a solid fantasy contributor during his years in San Francisco. He was just signed by the Rams today and has a good chance to take over the starting strong safety position once he familiarizes himself with the defensive system and playbook. There's value to be had at this position as the Rams like to use a lot of dime packages in passing situations and therefore their safeties tend to have a good amount of tackle opportunities. Lewis isn't a guy I would pickup right now, but this is a situation worth watching closely.


Ronde Barber Down Arrow

RCB Ronde Barber (TB) - Just when everyone thought he was finished as a viable IDP option, Ronde Barber has started playing a bit closer to his 2003-2006 self than his 2007-2009 self. He's averaged over 5 solo tackles per game and has two interceptions on the season. I think teams fear Aqib Talib a bit more than they do the 36 year old Ronde Barber at this point and consequently Barber is seeing more balls thrown his way. I expect his solid production to continue and he could end up being one of the more reliable tackle corners this year.





Stock Down

Derrick Harvey Down Arrow LDE Derrick Harvey (JAX) - Talk about a bust. The Jaguars selected Harvey with the 8th overall pick in the 2008 draft and he's done pretty much nothing for them since then. He's played so poorly that he has now been benched for the Dallas game this week in favor of 6th round draft choice Jeremy Mincey. I doubt many owners still have Harvey on their team, but if you do, it's time to dump him.


Stewart Bradley Down Arrow

MLB Stewart Bradley (PHI) - I recommended Bradley last week against the Titans and he burned me almost as bad as Keith Brooking did in Week 5. I'm done with recommending slow, white linebackers. Granted, the Titans had an above average number of pass attempts, but they still had 26 rushes by running backs and for Bradley to only come up with 2 solo tackles is pathetic. He hasn't registered more than 6 solo tackles in any one game this season and has nothing more than LB3 value for me the rest of the season.



E.J. Henderson Down Arrow MLB E.J. Henderson (MIN) - I've always been a big fan of E.J. Henderson as he possesses a rare mix of tackling and big play ability (similar to Karlos Dansby). He's played pretty well this year, but his fantasy numbers have left something to be desired. Since Week 2, he's only averaged a little over 3 solo tackles per game and is clearly the second best fantasy linebacker in Minnesota behind Chad Greenway who has been flying all over the field. In the right matchup, I see Henderson putting up low LB2/LB3 numbers, but I no longer consider him to be matchup independent.


Kirk Morrison Down Arrow MLB Kirk Morrison (JAX) - It has been a season of fantasy highs and lows for Morrison. His numbers were mediocre to start the season due to his absence in nickel packages. Then, after the injury to WLB Justin Durant, Morrison's numbers and value started to improve since he was playing in the majority of the team's subpackages. Now it looks like Morrison will be once again constrained to a two-down linebacker role making him a bench player in most IDP leagues.


Adrian Wilson Down Arrow SS Adrian Wilson (ARI) - YO ADRIAN! In 2005, Wilson gave us one of the best yearly fantasy performances from a safety that we have ever seen (93 solos, 16 assists, 8 sacks!). He's lived off of the mystique of that season ever since and continues to be owned in a lot of IDP leagues even though he's only produced at a marginal rate over the last 3 or so seasons. Wilson will jump back onto the IDP radar a couple of games every year with a big performances, but only to follow-up with letdown performances in the following weeks. Leave this tease on the wire in most leagues.

As always thanks for reading and for your comments! You guys have been keeping me busy! I'm looking forward to your questions, comments, and derogatory remarks.

Last Updated: October 28, 2010



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17 comments :

Anonymous said...

Hey Guru,
I just traded Jason Hunter LB, Aqib Talib CB and Donald Lee TE for Justin Durant LB, Alphonso Smith CB and Roscoe Parrish WR. As far as value in the trade I think there is a slight edge to Parrish over Lee since it's a PPR league. As far as Smith for Talib and Durrant for Hunter do you think I made a good trade?
Thanks
Doug

Kenny said...

I am in a dyansty league Just traded Will Smith and a 2nd rounder for Channing Crowder

So now my DL and LB's look like this:

Branch, Alan ARI DE (Q)
Houston, Lamarr OAK DE
Kiwanuka, Mathias NYG DE
Umenyiora, Osi NYG DE
Williams, Mario HOU DE
Bishop, Desmond GBP LB
Bradley, Stewart PHI LB
Crowder, Channing MIA LB
Cunningham, Jermaine NEP LB
Maualuga, Rey CIN LB
McClain, Jameel BAL LB
Peterson, Julian DET LB
Rivers, Keith CIN LB (Q)
Ware, Demarcus DAL LB
Barnett, Nick GBP LB (I)

Thoughts?

Anonymous said...

What's up Guru!
Should I drop Bishop and pick up Mcintosh or Durant? Or do you have another stud sleeper up your sleeve that I should watch. I already have Tulloch and Pollard(I went back and got him after you said to get him back on my team, even though Bradie was of good service this past week}. We start 3 players in our league-FYI

Thanks,

Dilla

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Doug
I think you got a slightly better deal with Durant and Smith. They are both a tier above the players they were traded for.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Kenny
If I can speak honestly, I really don't like the trade. Channing Crowder is nothing more than a LB4 in my opinion and you gave up a potential low-end DL1/DL2 and 2nd rounder. Crowder can be found on the waiver wire in the majority of leagues.

Your team looks decent, but it seems though your missing a LB1. The closest you have is DeMarcus Ware and if this is a tackle-heavy league, I wouldn't consider him a LB1 necessarily.

I don't mean to be disparaging with my comments. But ignorance is definitely not bliss when it comes to Fantasy Football. Let me know if there's anything I can do to help (waiver wire advice, trade advice, etc.).

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Hold onto Bishop. He has another great matchup this week.

magic said...

Hello Ryan, for this week only in standard scoring system. Would you go with Derrick Jonson, Diles, Mcintosh, Dhani Jones, Cooper, Ruud, or Durant. can just pick one. Thanks in advance!

Joey said...

Hey Guru,

Who do i start this week?

Goldson, Trufant or Atogwe?

mk said...

Thanks for the insight each week. For a bye week fill-in at LB (I am likely going to drop whomever I pick up after this week), would you go w/ J. Durant, L. Woodley, or D. Harris (NYJ)? Scoring = 1 pt/tackle; 1 pt/2 assists; 4 pts per int, sack, fr; 3 pts/ff.

Thanks for the input.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@magic
I'd go with Dhani Jones.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Joey
Go with Goldson.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@mk
I'd go with David Harris. Not a great matchup, but the Packers have been getting better against the run. I don't like Woodley's matchup and Durant's is all right.

Anonymous said...

I need to drop one of these DL. Dave Ball or James Hall?
Who should I pick up Israel Idonjie, Richard Seymour, Kyle Williams, or Barry Cofield? ......Thanks for the advice.
-LPR

Woj said...

Hey Ryan thanks 4 the advice on Bishop. I need a week 9 filler for London Fletcher, possibly a replacement for the year? Standard point system with ints being worth 3 points. Vilma, Harris, Sessions, and Durant are available. I thought Sessions may even be a good replacement for Fletcher. What do you think?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I'd drop Ball. His value will continue to go down as Tennessee begins to rotate their lineman more and more.

I'd pick up Kyle Williams.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Woj
I still like David Harris a little bit better than Session because of Session's injury history. Neither have fantastic matchups this week, but Harris' is the better of the two.

Anonymous said...

I need to pick up a LB for this week -- would you take Scott Fujita or Geno Hayes? I only need him this week. Thanks.

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***NOTE: Please use a different display name than "Anonymous" when asking advice questions. It gets difficult to discern who I am answering when multiple people post under the same name.

Also, when asking for weekly matchup advice please mention the weekly opponent for each player you are listing. This helps me answer questions more quickly.
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