2010 IDP Stockwatch: Week 3

I thought I would introduce a new in-season article this year in which I discuss a few players who's fantasy value has either gone up or down depending on their performance, role changes, injury concerns, etc. from the previous week. I will try to get this article out every Thursday for your reading pleasure.


Stock Up


Ndamukong Suh Down Arrow LDT Ndamukong Suh - Part of being a good fantasy football owner is admitting when you made a wrong judgment. I will admit, I thought Suh was the MOST overvalued fantasy lineman heading into this year's fantasy season. He's still not going to be an elite option in shallow leagues, but in deeper leagues and especially DT-required leagues, Suh is turning into a solid option. He's been fighting through constant double teams on his way to 9 total tackles and 2 sacks. Pretty solid numbers for a defensive tackle.


Chris Kelsay Down Arrow RDE/ROLB Chris Kelsey (BUF) - Coming into the regular season, I wasn't exactly sure how well Kelsay's skills were going to translate from being a 4-3 defensive end to a 3-4 standup linebacker. However, he's played very well so far and is putting up above-average tackle numbers for players in his role. He's classified as DE in some leagues and therefore is a great value play.


James Harrison Down Arrow ROLB James Harrison - Harrison looks to have regained his 2008 form. He's had 3 sacks so far this season and has put up a very solid 20 total tackles. These above-average tackle totals are what really separate Harrison from other speed-rushing outside linebackers such as DeMarcus Ware. Harrison has averaged 93 total tackles over the last three seasons compared to Ware's 75. He's probably not available on your league's waiver wire, but if he is grab him. If you own him, start him.


Clay Matthews Down Arrow ROLB Clay Matthews (GB) - I have one word for this guy: beastly. This is no aberration folks. Matthews is the real deal and could very well end up leading the league in sacks this season (he's on pace for 40 sacks!). If for some odd reason, he's still available in your league, GRAB HIM NOW.


Zack Bowman Down Arrow LCB Zack Bowman - The Bears switched Bowman to left cornerback this season in hopes of him getting more action. This signals to me that Chicago feels that Bowman is ready to take the reigns from solid, but aging veteran Charles Tillman as the Bears number one cornerback. Bowman has out-tackled Tillman 16 to 12 so far this season and looks to be a strong play in CB-required leagues.




Stock Down

Will Smith Down Arrow RDE Will Smith (NO) - After 13.5 sacks last season, "The Fresh Prince" has failed to register a sack yet this season. Looking back to 2009, it's pretty clear that Smith played over his head and that the probability of him putting up the same level of numbers this season is low. I would expect 7-9 sacks this year with decent tackle production; making him a solid DL2 option.


Rolando McClain Down Arrow MLB Rolando McClain (OAK) - McClain has been to slow to adapt to the NFL style and speed of play. He hasn't been shedding blocks and has been on his heels quite consistently throughout games. In last week's game against the Rams, he wasn't exploding at the point of attack. He's only worth dropping in very shallow leagues at this point, but I wouldn't be afraid to bench him this week.


Kirk Morrison Down Arrow MLB Kirk Morrison (JAX) - Kirk "Return of the Mack" Morrison has been a major disappointment to fantasy owners this season and unfortunately I expect his subpar production to continue. Morrison is not playing in nickel packages and is perhaps only the 3rd best linebacker talent-wise in Jacksonville behind Daryl Smith and Justin Durant. Moving forward, he's probably only going to have LB3 value at most and I would rather own Daryl Smith at this point in the season.


Reed Doughty Down Arrow FS Reed Doughty (WASH) - With his 14 total tackles last week, Doughty may be one of the more popular DB waiver wire pickups. However, he shouldn't be. Kareem Moore is finally ready to play and will share snaps with Reed Doughty and possibly Chris Horton. Expect Doughty's playing time to be severely reduced as Moore is better in coverage than Doughty and will probably become the starter within the next couple of weeks.


Brandon Meriweather Down Arrow FS Brandon Meriweather (NE) - I had Meriweather labeled as a bust months ago, but even I didn't expect him to get benched. But that's exactly what has happened last week when he was riding the pine in favor of James Sanders. Meriweather will more than likely re-enter the starting lineup sooner rather than later, but the writing is on the wall. With an increased presence at strong safety in Patrick Chung, Meriweather is set up for a down year. There are too many good DB options on the waiver wire to hold on to Meriweather in shallow leagues.

As always thanks for reading and for your comments! You guys have been keeping me busy! I'm looking forward to your questions, comments, and derogatory remarks.

Last Updated: September 23, 2010



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14 comments :

Anonymous said...

Hey Ryan ... Should I go out and pick up week 2 wonder Jason Allen MIA or is he a one shot deal?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
It depends on who you would have to drop, but I don't think Allen's performance was a complete anomaly. He was a former 1st round pick and was highly touted coming out of Tennessee. He has great size for a cornerback and plays behind a relatively weak front seven. He should have above average tackle opportunities and he is a former safety so he should be able to produce some good tackle numbers.

Anonymous said...

Ryan, I just picked up Reed Doughty in my league. Scoring is pretty heavy on tackles; should I scoop up Steve Gregory instead?

Anonymous said...

I have his counterpart, Vontae Davis along with Atogwe, Talib, Marshall and Toler. If I wanted to pick him up who would be a candidate to drop?

Anonymous said...

Ryan -

I failed to scoop up Matthews last week when you highlighted him. I've learned my lesson. I'm grabbing the value play in Kelsey as he is listed as a DE in my D-lineman required league and plugging him in at my defensive flex slot. I'm sitting McClain this week for Rocky McIntosh. What do u think?

Thanks!

Thanks!

Anonymous said...

should i trade beason for derrick johnson?

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
Yah, get off Doughty. I think he's going to see a good decrease in tackle production moving forward with Moore re-entering the lineup. Gregory should continue to put up good numbers even though he may see a slight dip as well since Weddle should pick his game up a bit moving forward.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I think that's the right move. McClain has too much potential to drop, but he's playing too poorly to start at this point. Kelsay should put up good tackle numbers against the Patriots this week.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
No, hold onto Jon Beason. He's still has more value than Derrick Johnson. It's too early to panic on Beason. I'm expecting a really good game out of Beason this week against the Bengals.

Anonymous said...

I currently have Aaron Ross and Josh Wilson behind T Thomas and Leon Hall in a 2 CB required league. I'm planning on dropping both Ross and Wilson to scoop up Allen and Stanford Routt. Do you agree with these moves? I'm looking for guys with more upside in a dynasty format to move forward with. What's your thoughts on Routt playing oposite Nnamdi?

Anonymous said...

If I have Jon Beason AND James Anderson on my roster... would it be a wise move to start both of them? I also have Urlacher, Ellis Hobbs, and Michael Griffin that I'm trying to decide between for my defensive flex spot on sunday. any help would be great.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I think picking up Allen and Routt are the right moves. Routt has the potential for a good amount of tackles since teams will be throwing away from Nnamdi quite a bit.

Ryan Sitzmann said...

@Anonymous
I would start Beason and Anderson. They have a great matchup and should both put up nice numbers.

Anonymous said...

hey ryan! help me pick a defensive bsck (3 pts per tackle)

tj ward @ravens

or

eric berry vs niners

any comments or feedback are appreciated!

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